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2023 DP World Tour Championship Tips

2023 DP World Tour Championship Event Info

Starts: 16th November 2023
Course: Earth Course, Jumeriah Golf Estates, Dubai
Par: 72
Length: 7,675 yards
2022 Champion: Jon Rahm

2023 DP World Tour Championship Course Info

Course Designer - Greg Norman
Fairways - Wide, undulating, well bunkered
Rough - Bermuda
Greens - Large, undulating, Bermuda, well bunkered, lots of run off areas. 12 on Stimpmeter
Par 5s - 2nd, 7th, 14th, 18th
Hosted Since - 2009

2023 DP World Tour Championship Weather Forecast

Thursday
Light rain in the afternoon. Max wind 16mph.

Friday
Light rain in the morning. Max wind 11mph.

Saturday
Sunny and moderate breeze. Max wind 10mph.

Sunday
Sunny and moderate breeze. Max wind 9mph.

Significant Info To Be Aware Of

The field is limited to the top 50 players on the Race to Dubai rankings.

Rory McIlroy has already won the Race to Dubai title so only the tournament itself is up for grabs.

2023 DP World Tour Championship Trends

Winning score
Since 2015, the winning score has ranged from -15 to -21. We expect a similar figure this week.

Course Form
Eleven of the last twelve winners have had a previous top 10 at the Earth Course. Jon Rahm is the only debutant to win since Robert Karlsson in 2010. Desert form is also preferred.

Incoming Form
Eleven of the last fourteen winners had a top 10 in their previous 3 starts. 

Nationality
Thirteen of the last fourteen winners at the Earth Course have been European.  However, Collin Morikawa won in 2021 and there are several non-European golfers with good records in this event so take this trend with a pinch of salt.

Age
Seven of the last eight winners were in their twenties.  Danny Willett was the exception and he was 31.  Youngsters are definitely preferred.

2023 DP World Tour Championship Trends Shortlist

Using the information above, we have taken into account the three most relevant trends to establish a shortlist of potential winners.  The trends used were:

Age: Under 35
Course Form: At least one previous top 10
Recent Form: At least one top 10 in last three starts

The players who meet the above three criteria are:

Rory McIlroy
Jon Rahm
Viktor Hovland
Matthew Fitzpatrick
Tyrrell Hatton
Tommy Fleetwood
Adrian Meronk
Robert MacIntyre
Nicolai Hojgaard
Victor Perez
Alexander Bjork
Rasmus Hojgaard
Matt Wallace
Sami Valimaki
Adrian Otaegui

2023 DP World Tour Championship Stats Analysis

Summary
Strokes Gained stats are available since 2017. One thing they don't show is the importance of driving distance on the Earth Course, so we have included that also.

Driving Distance
Every winner since 2009 has ranked 16th or better for distance. Ten out of those 14 winners were inside the top 10 in this category. It is a big advantage to be a long hitter at the Earth Course.

SG: Off The Tee
The last six winners have ranked 2510-8-4-19-5 (most recent first) in this category. Strong drivers prosper here.

SG: Approach
The last six winners ranked 2-10-35-4-2-10 (most recent first) in this category. Strong iron play is usually required but Matt Fitzpatrick (2020) showed you can win with a great putting week.

SG: Tee To Green
The last six winners ranked 2-3-8-1-6-6 (most recent first) in this category.  As you'd expect, a strong all round game is required to win this week.

SG: Around The Green
The last six winners ranked 2-6-7-4-33-27 (most recent first) in this category. Sharp short game preferred but not essential.

SG: Putting
The last six winners ranked 2-14-1-9-10-9 (most recent first) in this category. Preference is on ball striking for the Earth Course.

2023 DP World Tour Championship In Play Advice

Tough Holes
The par 4 9th hole was once again the toughest last year.  The 4th, 8th and 12th were also once again amongst the hardest on course.

Birdie Holes
The four par 5s (2nd, 7th, 14th and 18th) played as the easiest four holes last year.  

Fast or Slow start
The top three after round one last year would all go on to finish inside the top five.  Winner in 2022, Matt Fitzpatrick, was 2nd after round one. The top four in 2019 were all in the top four after 18 holes! The top three in 2018 were all in the top ten after 18 holes. You don't want to be too far behind at the Earth Course. Backing players with hot starts in-play could be advantageous.

Previous DP World Tour Championship Picks & Blogs

• 2022 DP World Tour Championship Picks and Blog
• 2021 DP World Tour Championship Picks and Blog
• 2020 DP World Tour Championship Picks and Blog

2023 DP World Tour Championship Tips