Starts: 2nd June 2022
Course: Muirfield Village GC
Length: 7,543 yards
2020 Champion: Patrick Cantlay
Used Since: 1976
Water Hazards: In-play on 6 holes.
Par 5's: 5th, 7th, 11th and 15th
Premium on: Approach play
There have been significant changes to the course since 2020, greens have been resurfaced, trees added and bunkers rebuilt.
Be aware that two tournaments were played at this course in 2020 - The Workday Charity Open and The Memorial Tournament. The course conditions for the 2020 Memorial were markedly different to previous years.
Jon Rahm was SIX shots clear of 2nd place last year when he had to withdraw with Covid.
Continue to exercise caution in relation to Covid-19 related withdrawals.
Thunderstorms forecast Wednesday evening and showers expected early Thursday which could soften the course. Should be dry Friday onwards with temperatures in the late 60's.
Am Showers, max winds 9mph.
Mostly sunny, max winds 7mph.
Mostly sunny, max winds 6mph.
Partly Cloudy, max winds 9mph.
Cantlay won last year with -13 although Rahm was -18 through 54 holes before withdrawing with Covid. Jon Rahm won in 2020 with a winning score of -9. However, we can discount that somewhat given the course was setup firm and fast owing to the fact it was being completely renovated following the tournament. The seven events held prior to Rahm's win at this course produced winning scores between -13 and -19.
Interestingly, there have been five playoffs in the last eight events held at Muirfield Village. No player has won by a margin greater than 3 shots since 2004 (Ernie Els).
Muirfield Village isn't a course that favours debutants given there have only been two players in the past 13 events held here who won on their debut.
Of the eleven winners who had played here before, all bar one had previously recorded a top 40 finish. Seven had posted a top 20 before winning.
The last three winners - Patrick Cantlay (2019), Jon Rahm (2020) and Patrick Cantlay (2021) - posted top 30 finishes the start before they won. We would expect this from such top players though.
The winner last year ranked 15th and the winners of the two events played here in 2020 ranked 29th and 2nd prior to their wins. The six winners prior ranked 14-38-65-102-212-24. We've therefore seen a mix of winners here, even if recent years have seen better players come to the fore.
American golfers have won nine of the last thirteen tournaments played here.
SG: Off The Tee
None of the last seven course winners has ranked worse than 32nd for SG: Off The Tee. Rankings have been 3-8-11-13-32-12-26.
Six of the last seven winners at Muirfield Village have ranked within the top 10 for Strokes Gained: Approach. Only DeChambeau in 2018 ranked outside the top 10 SG: Approach (ranking 24th) and this was in the main thanks to a hot putter. A strong iron player is preferable.
SG: Around The Green
The last seven course winners have ranked 3-2-80-5-33-14-50. A strong short game is useful around here.
The last seven course winners have ranked 19-32-16-8-9-61-23. It should also be noted that some awful putters like Emiliano Grillo and Byeong-Hun An have very respectable records here.
The 16th and 18th generally play as the two hardest holes on the course. Both have averaged over par for the last six Memorial Tournaments.
The par 5's 5th and 7th are the two easiest holes on the course.
See Tough Holes!
Fast or Slow Start
Only one winner in the last seven events held at Muirfield Village has been outside the top 16 after Round one (William McGirt (44th) - 2016).
Round 3 leaders don't have the best record in this event. Patrick Cantlay came from four back in 2019 and Jason Dufner also won from four back in 2017. David Lingmerth came from three shots back in 2015 and Hideki Matsuyama trailed by two in 2014. Collin Morikawa, winner of the 2020 Workday Charity Open, came from three back.
Players We Almost Backed
Will Zalatoris 28/1
Played here once in 2018 but missed the cut. Was off his game last week missing the cut but understandable after the PGA and rest would have done him good. He also missed the cut at Byron Nelson the week before PGA and came back and finished 2nd. Ranks 1st tee to green for the season. Four top 6 finishes in last six starts - 28/1 is big and we won't be getting this sort of price when he wins.
Chris Kirk 60/1
5th at the PGA and 15th last week. Price has drifted by about 20pts since last week, albeit a stronger field. Finished 26th here last year after a run of poor form and 4th back in 2014 when in similar form to now. Ranks 7th tee to green this season.
Brendan Steele 125/1
Brendan was last seen at the PGA Championship, where he recorded a 9th place finish. He was 4th SG: Approach that week and if he can bring that level of approach play he'll surely be a factor given his normally accurate driving. He's made his last 7 cuts in a row at Muirfield Village, with a couple of top 20 finishes. His three PGA Tour wins have all come after at least a week off so he's a player who plays best when fresh, just as he is this week.
Keith Mitchell 125/1
35th at PGA last start, ranking 4th off the tee. Ranks 5th for the season in this category and winners here have ranked highly. Finished 22nd here in last start after a run of missed cuts.
Cameron Davis 150/1
17th SG: Approach and 19th SG: Off The Tee last week. 3 MCs here though was enough to put us off. Maybe one to watch after round 1.
Charley Hoffman 350/1
13th SG: Approach and 25th SG: Off the tee last week. 7th at the Workday in 2020. Been MIA for a large part of the year, need to see more from him.
Adam Svensson 400/1
Adam was another who struggled in the difficult final round conditions at the Charles Schwab and slumped to a 40th place finish when in a good position after 3 rounds. However, he ranked 25th SG: Off the Tee and 26th SG: Approach. He hasn't played at Muifield Village in a competitive environment but the test should suit him.