Preview
2023 Sanderson Farms Championship Tips
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2023 Sanderson Farms Championship Event Info
Starts: 5th October 2023
Course: Country Club of Jackson, MS
Par: 72
Length: 7,461 yards
2022 Champion: Mackenzie Hughes
2023 Sanderson Farms Championship Course Info
Course Designer: John Fought (heavy Donald Ross influence)
Tournament played here since: 2014
Type of Course: Inland, parkland course
Fairways: Reasonably wide
Greens: Small and Tricky Bermuda greens
Par 5's: 3rd, 5th, 11th and 14th
Premium on: Driving
Significant Info To Be Aware Of
It's early in a new season on the PGA Tour so some players may be playing with a fresh mindset.
2023 Sanderson Farms Championship Weather Forecast
A dry lead up to the tournament should mean the course plays firm.
Thursday
Light rain in the afternoon. Wind 5-7mph.
Friday
Light rain in the morning. Wind 5-7mph.
Saturday
Sunny. Max wind 9mph
Sun
Sunny. Max wind 8mph
2023 Sanderson Farms Championship Trends
Winning Score
The nine previous editions of the Sanderson Farms Championship have been won with scores ranging between -16 and -22.
Course Form
Of the last eight winners, only Sam Burns and Sebastian Munoz had anything remotely resembling previous course form. Prior to Mackenzie Hughes winning last year, Munoz was the only winner to have made the cut in the year prior, having placed 50th in 2018. Five of the nine winners have been course debutants.
Recent Form
Six of the last nine champions had recorded at least one top 25 finish in their previous two starts. Look to those players who played well at the Fortinet Championship a few weeks ago.
Previous PGA Tour Winners
Six of the last nine winners have been first time winners on the PGA Tour. Given we've had winners such as Peter Malnati and Cody Gribble in recent times, it's definitely an event to consider outsiders.
Korn Ferry Tour
Four of the last nine champions had only just graduated to the PGA Tour from the Korn Ferry Tour. Note - there were no Korn Ferry Tour graduates in 2020 due to Covid.
Age
Six of the nine course winners have been in their twenties.
2023 Sanderson Farms Championship Trends Shortlist
Using the information above, we have taken into acount the three most relevant trends to establish a shortlist of potential winners. The trends used were:
Age: Under 30
First Time PGA Tour Winner
Recent Form: At least one top 25 in last two starts
The players who meet the above three criteria are:
Hank Lebioda
Matthias Schwab
Vince Whaley
Carson Young
Greyson Sigg
Doug Ghim
Dylan Wu
Robby Shelton
Ben Griffin
SH Kim
Davis Thompson
Beau Hossler
Ludvig Aberg
2023 Sanderson Farms Championship Stats Analysis
Driving
Five of the past seven winners ranked inside the top 10 for Strokes Gained: Off The Tee. Ryan Armour won in 2017 despite ranking 39th SG: Off The Tee.
Approach
Each of the past seven winners has ranked inside the top 21 for Strokes Gained: Approach.
Scrambling
Neither Strokes Gained: Around the Green nor Scrambling stats give us any insight - there have been mixed results.
Putting
Burns and Sergio Garcia won in 2020 and 2021 with modest putting displays but most winners here putt well. Hugehs was 16th last year in SG: Putting.
2023 Sanderson Farms Championship In Play Advice
Tough Holes
The 6th is the toughest on the front nine. On the back nine, 10 and 16 are the trickiest.
Birdie Holes
The par 5s all play under par and the 15th is a driveable par 4.
Fast or Slow Start
Four of the past nine champions have started with rounds of -3 or worse. Cody Gribble actually started with a round of one over par in 2016 and Mackenzie Hughes was five shots back after round one last year.
Previous Sanderson Farms Championship Previews and Blogs
2023 Sanderson Farms Championship Tips
Get all of our Sanderson Farms Championship picks and PGA Tour tips for 2023 by clicking the button below. Now only £49!!
In-play
2023 Sanderson Farms Championship In-Play Blog
8th October 2023, 2.20pm (UK time)
| Player | Total |
|---|
| Griffin |
-20 |
| Yuan |
-17 |
| Stallings |
-16 |
| List |
-16 |
| Norlander |
-16 |
| Champ |
-15 |
| Dou |
-15 |
| Two players tied |
-14 |
2023 Sanderson Farms Championship Round 3 Summary
Ben Griffin has opened up a three shot lead at the top of the Sanderson Farms Championship leaderboard. Only Cameron Champ and Scott Stallings bettered Griffin's round of 66.
2023 Sanderson Farms Championship Round 4 Weather
Sunny. Wind 3-6mph.
Back or Fade The Favourite?
Ben Griffin is the 8/13 favourite given his three shot lead and impressive display thus far. The 27 year old ranks third in SG: Tee to Green for the week and has only made one bogey all week.
We are somewhat annoyed at ourselves for not being on Griffin given he ticked a number of trends this week. Griffin was one of thirteen names identified in this week's preview but his lack of competitive action (he hadn't played competively for almost two months until this week) was a factor that ultimately put us off.
Griffin's price going into the final round has to be questioned though. He's held the third round lead twice in his career and been unable to convert either. Griffin indicated in his post round press conference that he learnt plenty from last year's opportunity at the Bermuda Championship but it's been almost a year since he was in contention to win an event and he may well feel the pressure in today's final round.
In-Play Sanderson Farms Championship Bets We Considered
Each of the last five winners of this event have been in first or second position through 54 holes so we aren't looking too far down the leaderboard for a potential winner. Much will depend on how Ben Griffin fares, with those further down the leaderboard having a chance to win if he slips up.
We have three selections inside the top 15 going into the final round but Cameron Champ is our main hope from our pre-tournament picks. The winner here in 2018, he could well be in the mix if he can replicate his Sunday 65. We've given one further name to subscribers going into the final round.
Sanderson Farms Championship Round 4 Bets
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7th October 2023, 8.40am (UK time)
| Player | Total |
|---|
| Griffin |
-14 |
| Norlander |
-12 |
| Endycott |
-12 |
| List |
-12 |
| Yuan |
-12 |
| Four players tied |
-11 |
2023 Sanderson Farms Championship Round 2 Summary
Conditions were once again conducive to low scoring, Ben Griffin shooting a best of the week 63 to open up a two shot lead at the top of the leaderboard in Mississippi.
2023 Sanderson Farms Championship Round 3 Weather
Sunny. Wind 10-12mph.
Back or Fade The Favourite?
Ben Griffin is the 5/2 favourite heading into the weekend. That price seems mightily short to us though considering he has yet to win on the PGA Tour and has yet to convince when leading. His only career halfway lead came at the 2022 Astara Championship, where he would go on to finish second. A similar fate befell him at the 2022 Bermuda Championship, where he held the third round lead before finishing third.
Griffin has been solid with his approach play this week (he ranks 7th S: Approach) but it has been his putter that has been the key to his scoring. Only Scott Stallings has gained more strokes on the greens this week than the leader and that further puts us off the price of 5/2.
In-Play Sanderson Farms Championship Bets We Considered
Three of the last five winners have been outside the top six on the leaderboard at this stage but none of those players have been outside the top ten. With that in mind, our focus has been on the players who are eleven under par or better.
Sanderson Farms Championship Round 3 Bets
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6th October 2023, 10.30am (UK time)
| Player | Total |
|---|
| Hadley |
-8 |
| Norlander |
-7 |
| Wu |
-7 |
| Seven players tied |
-6 |
2023 Sanderson Farms Championship Round 1 Summary
Soft conditions and very little breeze saw players go low on the opening day of the 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship. Chesson Hadley was the man who went lowest, opening with a round of 64.
2023 Sanderson Farms Championship Round 2 Weather
Sunny intervals. Wind 10-15mph.
Back or Fade The Favourite?
Ludvig Aberg remains favourite with the bookmakers after an opening round of 67. The young Swede was pre-tournament favourite and put in another fine driving performance (4th SG: Off The Tee) in day one to set up a number of birdie opportunities.
Our concern with Aberg before the start of the even was how he would fare after the energy expended last week at the Ryder Cup. Early signs are that he is unaffected but fatigue may well set in towards the end of the week and the 8/1 isn't a price for us with such low scoring.
In-Play Sanderson Farms Championship Bets We Considered
As we noted in the preview, winners of this event haven't always got off to the fastest of starts. Four of the last nine winners had started with a round of three under par or worse and Mackenzie Hughes was five shots behind after round one last year. With that in mind, we took a look at several players off the pace at big odds.
Ryan Moore was our favourite of the players priced up at huge odds. Moore shot an opening 69 but ranked 4th in SG: Approach. Had we not already been on him from before the start of the event, he would have been in our staking plan today.
Sanderson Farms Championship Round 2 Bets
Want to know which bets we went with? You can sign up for all our PGA Tour tips for 2023 by clicking the button below.
