Starts: 2nd June 2022
Course: Green Eagle GC
Par: 72 (34-38)
Length: 7,603 yards
2021 Champion: Marcus Armitage
Designer: Michael Blesch
Type of Course: Parkland
Used Since: 2017
Greens: Large and undulating
Water Hazards: In-play on 17 holes
Par 5's: 9th, 11th, 15th, 16th & 18th
Premium on: Par 5 scoring and form
Significant Info To Be Aware Of
Last year's event was shortened to 3 days due to Germany's strict Covid controls. We return to the standard 4 day tournament this week.
In 2019, the event was played in September, whilst it was played in July in 2017-18. The tournament was cancelled in 2020 due to Covid.
Continue to exercise caution in relation to Covid-19 related withdrawals.
A colder start to the week at 16 degrees on Thursday but will be hitting 20 degrees by the weekend.
Sunny Intervals with a moderate breeze. Wind 14mph
Sunny Intervals with a moderate breeze. Wind 10mph
Sunny Intervals and a gentle breeze. Wind 8mph
Sunny Intervals and a moderate breeze. Wind 11mph
Marcus Armitage won last year with a score of -8 over three rounds. The previous three editions have been between -11 and -14. We should expect double figures under par to be winning.
Armitage was ranked 190th in the world and it was his first DP World Tour title, but he did have three top 10's already that season. Paul Casey was world number 19 before his win in 2019 and had won on the PGA Tour earlier that year. Richard McEvoy was a massive shock winner when he held off Bryson DeChambeau in 2018. Despite winning a Challenge Tour event the week before, he was only ranked 275th in the world. Jordan Smith had a terrific season on tour before his win in 2017 and was ranked 122nd pre-win. We're therefore looking for a player who is high on confidence after a good year.
The Albatross Golf Course in Czech Republic is similar in terms of being a long brute of a course.
Armitage had no course form with only a missed cut to his name previously. Casey was 7th in his previous finish here, McEvoy was 28th the year before and Smith was a debutant like most of the field. A previous good showing at the course is an advantage but not essential.
Armitage was 8th the week before his win. Casey arrived after a 3rd at the Tour Championship. McEvoy had won on the Challenge Tour in his previous start and Smith had made his last seven cuts without placing. Recent form appears to be a very handy guide.
All four winners at this course have been English.
We will assess the stats of the four most recent winners between 2017-21.
106-24-114-4. Despite the long yardage, McEvoy and Armitage both triumphed despite being shorter hitters. None of the top 5 last year ranked inside the top 40 for driving distance.
63-20-15-13. Driving Accuracy isn't perceived as essential but it appears to be more important than you think.
SG: Off The Tee
46-11-32-N/A. No stats are available for Smith's win in 2017 but he drove the ball beautifully. It's important to make up shots off the tee.
19-1-21-N/A. Strong iron play is important.
SG: Around The Greens
10-96-45-N/A. Armitage ranked highly but this is generally not a key stat.
7-30-30-N/A. Armitage ranked highly and whilst it's clearly important to put well, other stats are favoured.
In 2019 and 2021, the 493 yard Par 4 10th played the toughest, averaging 4.44 in 2021. The 4th and 6th were the 2nd and 3rd toughest holes both years.
In 2019, the par 4 7th played the easiest over the four days, averaging 3.81 and it was the 2nd easiest in 2021. Three of the par 5's - 9th, 15th and 18th were the other easiest holes in 2021.
Fast or Slow Start
Last year we saw several players make up ground despite it only being a three round event. However in 2019, three of the top four were in the top 2 after day one. It's possible to play catch up.
The 16th is a long par 5 measuring 705 yards, followed by a 170 yard par 3 17th. The 18th is an easy Par 5 which averaged 4.82 in 2021.
Players We Almost Backed
Thomas Detry 50/1
We backed Detry last week and a stone cold putter saw him miss the cut. He ranked 25th SG: Off The Tee, 31st SG: Approach and 3rd Greens in Regulation. He was runner up here last year and 13th in 2018, it wouldn't be a surprise to see him contend.
Henrik Stenson 50/1
Henrik isn't an obvious selection given he missed the cut here last year and has missed his last two cuts. However, he's missed those cuts on the cut mark and his last start was the PGA Championship. His approach ply has been excellent of late, he's ranked 28-10-19 SG: Approach in his last three starts on the PGA Tour. We saw him come back from the PGA Tour to Europe last summer and post a run of good results, could he be another who will benefit from the drop in class this week?
Jeff Winther 125/1
11th and 22nd in his last two starts at this event, Jeff's recent form hasn't been much to write home about. However, three decent rounds last week were offset by a terrible 78 on Saturday. Had that round been consistent with his other three rounds he's have placed inside the top 20.
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