Preview
Event Info
Starts: 11 January 2024
Course: Dubai Creek Resort, Dubai
Par: 71 (35-36)
Length: 7,059 yards
DP World Tour Dubai Invitational Picks 2024
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Dubai Invitational 2024 Course Info
Course Designer: Karl Litten
Fairways: Narrow
Greens: Bermuda
Water Hazards: On 11 holes
Par 5's: 4th, 10th, 13th
Hosted Since: 2024
Premium on: Accuracy
Significant Info To Be Aware Of
-This is a pro-am event with only 60 professionals.
2024 Dubai Invitational Course Information
Dubai Creek hosted the 2021 Asia-Pacific Amateur Championship. An excellent course summary from that event can be found on YouTube here.
The course also hosted the 1999 and 2000 Dubai Desert Classic.
2024 Dubai Invitational Course Quotes
"I can’t remember hitting so many wedges. I’ve played a lot of golf courses and major championships. US Opens, where the rough is very severe. This rough is as tough or tougher than any place I’ve seen because it’s very thick and consistent throughout. But it’s good. It tests you mentally, to hang in there, just keep fighting and try to do the best you can." Mark O'Meara, 1999
"It’s beyond my wildest dreams that I could ever put two 69s back to back on this course the way it’s set up. I couldn’t sleep on Wednesday. I really thought I was going to shoot 90!" David Howell, 1999
How the weather should affect this week
Ideal golfing conditions all week with sunshine and wind not expected to rise above 15mph.
2024 DP World Tour Dubai Invitational Picks
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In-play
Dubai Invitational In-Play Blog
13 January 2024, 7:05pm (UK time)
| Player | Total |
|---|
| Fleetwood |
-15 |
| McIlroy |
-14 |
| Olesen |
-12 |
| Three Players Tied |
-11 |
2024 Dubai Invitational Round 3 Conditions
The course continued to firm up with a steady breeze.
2024 Dubai Invitational Round 4 Weather Bias?
No bias, sunny and constant wind of 4-8mph all day.
Round 4 Outright Market Summary
Tommy Fleetwood may have edged Rory McIlroy at the top of the leaderboard but it is the Northern Irishman who retains his place at the head of the betting.
Fleetwood has outscored McIlroy in each of the past two days and is sure to have plenty of support given he lives in Dubai now and operates the Tommy Fleetwood academy there. However, he hasn't held a third round lead since the 2020 Honda Classic and has failed to improve his position in seven of the last eight times he has been in contention on a Sunday.
McIlroy should be a few clear were it not for a few moments of madness on the eight hole in round two and he's favoured out of the two.
Eye Catching Niche Market Prices
Haotong Li 'Lowest 4th round score' 200/1 @ Unibet/Bet MGM
Li has continued to impress over the opening three rounds and he's being massively disrespected in what is an 18 hole market. He ranks 9th for SG:: Tee to Green through three rounds but is priced as the 59th best player in the field in this market.
Sean Crocker 'Lowest 4th round score' 66/1 @ Unibet/Bet MGM/Skybet
Crocker was 2nd in this market in round three and 6th in this market in round one. He's playing some great golf tee to green this week, ranking 4th for SG: Tee to Green and Greens in Regulation. His putting doesn't always match his tee to green game but he's capable of getting hot for one round.
Dubai Invitational Round 4 Bets
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12 January 2024, 9:25pm (UK time)
| Player | Total |
|---|
| McIlroy |
-10 |
| Paul |
-8 |
| Winther |
-8 |
| Five Players Tied |
-7 |
2024 Dubai Invitational Round 2 Conditions
The course firmed up today, combined with a bit of breeze made scoring harder.
2024 Dubai Invitational Round 3 Weather Bias?
No bias, two tee start and similar starting time for all.
Round 3 Outright Market Summary
McIlroy has drifted to 4/5 after recovering from taking a 7 on the par 3 8th hole. It was a terrific recovery from what would have knocked most players, but also a reminder of the trouble that lurks on this course. Fleetwood was steady again today and remains the same price as yesterday. Our 90/1 pre-event pick Jeff Winther is playing well and tied 2nd place. With eight players within three, this is far from over, but finding an edge on a strong leaderboard looks a tough task.
Eye Catching Niche Market Prices
Hao Tong Li 'Top Rest of the World' 35/1 @ Bet365 - Li is currently three behind Lawrence and Lombard in this market but there isn't much in-between and Li's tee to green game looks very strong so far. He's 20/1 in this market at other books and worth a small play if you have 365 access.
Dubai Invitational Round 3 Bets
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11 January 2024, 6:25pm (UK time)
| Player | Total |
|---|
| McIlroy |
-9 |
| Paul |
-7 |
| Lawrence |
-6 |
| Fleetwood |
-5 |
| Olesen |
-5 |
| Four Players Tied |
-4 |
2024 Dubai Invitational Round 1 Conditions
Calm conditions, ideal for scoring.
2024 Dubai Invitational Round 2 Weather Bias?
No bias, good scoring conditions all day.
Round 2 Outright Market Summary
McIlroy is now best price of 4/6 and whilst it is far from over, his game looked in great shape today. There is some dangerous players tucked in behind him though, all proven DP World Tour winners, and it feels like the sort of close where someone can post a 62/63 each day. Tommy Fleetwood looked very solid on his back nine and would be our choice at 9/1 if you want to take Rory on.
Eye Catching Niche Market Prices
Nothing standing out today.
Dubai Invitational Round 2 Bets
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