Golf Picks Players Championship 2025, PGA Tour Players Championship Picks 2025

Preview

Starts: 13th March 2025
Course: TPC Sawgrass, Florida
Par: 72
Length: 7,275 yards
2024 Champion: Scottie Scheffler

PGA Tour Players Championship Picks 2025

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2025 Players Championship Course Info

Designer: Pete Dye
Used Since: 1982
Type of Course: Parkland
Fairways: Average width
Rough: Medium (2.5 inches)
Greens: Tifeagle Bermuda (13 Stimp)
Water Hazards: On every hole
Par 5's: 2nd, 9th, 11th and 16th
Premium on: All round game

The event was played in May between 2007 and 2018. The course played slightly differently in May as the weather was slightly better and the ball flew further in the slightly warmer conditions.

2025 Players Championship Trends

Winning Score
Since the event moved to a March slot in the calendar, winning scores have ranged from -13 to -20. In the ten years before that, scores ranged from -10 to -18.

Debutants
39 of the 41 winners at TPC Sawgrass had played in at least one previous Players Championship. The two that hadn't? Hal Sutton in 1983 and Craig Perks in 2002.

Course Experience
16 of the last 18 winners had made three or more starts at The Players Championship before winning. The only players who hadn't? Si Woo Kim and Scottie Scheffler (2023).

Course Form
Eleven of the past twelve champions have posted a top 25 here prior to winning. Incidentally, six of those twelve had posted a top 6 finish. Winner in 2023, Scottie Scheffler, was the only player out of the eleven not to have posted a top 25 in this event prior to winning.

Played The Year Before
We're looking for someone who played in this event last year as the past 16 Players Championship winners played the event the year before winning. Fourteen of those 16 made the cut. Rory McIlroy and Jason Day were the only two winners to miss the cut the year prior to winning.

Wins on PGA Tour
Twelve of the past thirteen winners had won an event on the PGA Tour before winning the Players Championship. Martin Kaymer was the only Players Championship winner in those years who hadn't won on the PGA Tour before but he was an accomplished winner on the European Tour.

Draw Bias
Thirteen of the past sixteen winners have had an early tee time in round one, this includes EIGHT of the last NINE winners.

Recent Form
Twelve of the last thirteen champions had posted a top 22 finish on their last start before winning. Cameron Smith was 33rd before his win in 2022 but had already won earlier in the year and was 4th in second last start. Form counts for a lot so factor that into your Players Championship picks.

Major Performance
16 of the past 17 winners of the Players had recorded a top three finish in a Major prior to winning. The odd one out? Si Woo Kim again!

World Ranking
The last eleven winners have had world rankings of 1-2-10-3-6-41-73-1-13-61-1-16 prior to winning. We are looking for a player inside the world's top 75 when making Players Championship selections.

Correlating Courses
Consider events which use Pete Dye designed courses such as the RBC Heritage and Travellers Championship.

Nationality
Seven of the last twelve winners have been American.

2025 Players Championship Stats Analysis

SG: Off The Tee
The last seven winners have ranked 1-5-74-10-3-49-2. Cameron Smith was a significant outlier when winning in 2022 but most winners at TPC Sawgrass have shown strong stats off the tee.

Driving Distance
The past nine champions have ranked 14-1-25-33-6-139-32-3-22. It is undoubtedly better to be above average length off the tee at the Players Championship.

Driving Accuracy
The past nine champions have ranked 1-18-75-62-78-2-27-84-71. Accuracy off the tee is only important for the shorter hitting players.

SG: Approach
The last seven winners have ranked 7-4-5-5-7-92-21. Strong SG: Approach numbers are preferred.

SG: Around The Green
The last seven winners have ranked 6-4-20-12-39-5-4. A tidy short game is a big help around Sawgrass.

SG: Putting
The last nine winners have ranked 37-48-1-42-59-1-59-9-30. Tee to green strength is preferred.

2025 Players Championship In Play Golf Betting Advice

Tough Holes
The 5th, 8th, 18th and 14th play as the four hardest holes on the course.

Birdie Holes
The par 4 12th hole plays as one of the easiest holes with the four par 5s also birdie opportunities.

Closing Stretch
Water lurks on the three closing holes. The par five 16th offers birdie opportunities. The 17th and 18th are both treacherous and players are happy with pars on both holes.

Fast or Slow Start
A fast start is usually vital at Sawgrass. Nine of the past ten champions have shot an opening round in the 60s. It is also notable that two of the last ten winners have been first round leaders. It should be noted though, Justin Thomas was SEVEN shots back at halfway in 2021.

TPC Sawgrass 2021 Course Notes

Course Condition
The course played hardest on day one, with the organisers watering the greens to make them less firm following day one. The 17th green was extremely hard and we saw a lot of balls in the water, particularly on day one. The green had been replaced the year before and was firmer than the rest of the greens.

Draw Bias
Players who played early-late had the better of the draw, both from course setup and wind (the wind was less on Friday afternoon than Thursday afternoon). Justin Thomas's win means the last six winners have had an early tee time on Thursday.

TPC Sawgrass 2022 Course Notes

Course Condition
There were significant weather interruptions. Day one saw a soft golf course with little breeze whilst the wind picked up considerably on the Friday.

Draw Bias
There was a significant draw bias once again with the top ten players at the halfway stage all playing in the AM-PM side of the draw. Cameron Smith's victory was the seventh straight win for a player who started early on Thursday.