Starts: 6th October 2022
Course: TPC Summerlin, NV
Length: 7,255 yards
2021 Champion: Sungjae Im
Course Designer: Bobby Weed with Fuzzy Zoeller
Tournament played here since: 1992
Type of Course: Resort/Desert course
Fairways: Generous, rough only 2 inches (previously three inches)
Greens: Large and slow Bentgrass greens (11.5 on stimp)
Par 5's: 9th, 13th and 16th
Premium on: Tee to green
Significant Info To Be Aware Of
Last week we saw two winners who were left out of the Presidents Cup side so it may be worth considering this week.
It's early in a new season on the PGA Tour so some players may be playing with a fresh mindset or new motivations.
Generally in excess of -20, but in 2017 we saw -9 win. Sungjae Im won with 24 under par last year Expect another -20 or better.
The last four winners all had top 15 finishes here prior to winning (Kevin Na and Martin Laird were past champions). However, we've seen in previous years that course debutants and players with little experience can also flourish.
Six of the past seven champions had recorded a top 20 in their previous three starts.
Favourites or Outsiders
Im was one of the favourites last year but outsiders have a great record here. Martin Laird won in 2020 at 275/1 and he added to winners such as Rod Pampling, Smylie Kaufman and Ben Martin.
Despite outsiders thriving, six of the last nine winners had won on the PGA Tour before.
The last SIX first round leaders have teed off in the morning wave. The top four last year after round one teed off early. The wind tends to kick up in the afternoon here so morning players on day 1 have a scoring advantage.
Tee to green
Both Martin Laird and Sungjae Im ranked top 21 for SG: Tee To Green in their last start prior to winning.
SG: Tee to Green
Sungjae Im was 1st last year. Laird 2nd in 2020. A key stat this week.
SG: Off the tee
Sungjae Im was 9th last year. The previous two champions (Martin Laird and Kevin Na) both ranked outside the top 40 for SG: Off The Tee. Rod Pampling, winner in 2016, also ranked outside the top 50 in this category. It's possible to win without a commanding driving performance.
Four of the last six champions have ranked inside the top seven in this category. Neither Kevin Na nor Patrick Cantlay ranked inside the top 20 for SG: Approach so again it is possible to win if other areas compensate. Strong iron play is definitely preferred.
SG: Around The Green
Rod Pampling is the only champion in the past five years to rank inside the top 10 for SG: Around The Green. Sunjae Im was 13th last year though but other stats are preferred.
Surprisingly, for a low scoring event, a hot putter hasn't been essential for the winner. Rankings of the past five winners:
Sungjae Im - 9th
Martin Laird - 27th
Kevin Na - 1st
Bryson DeChambeau - 60th
Patrick Cantlay - 43rd
Rod Pampling - 52nd
The front 9 is considerably harder than the back. In particular, the 3rd and 8th are tricky holes. The 17th hole can cause problems with water in play.
The par 5s all play well under par and the 15th is a driveable par 4.
Fast or Slow Start
Surprisingly, only four winners in the past eight years have opened up with a 66 or better - Im (63), Martin Laird (65), Bryson DeChambeau (66) and Rod Pampling (60).
Players We Almost Backed
NOTE - These are players who we shortlisted for this event but ultimately didn't advise to subscribers. If you want to find out who we did tip, you can subscribe using the link below.
Kurt Kitayama 70/1
A player who performs well in desert conditions and looks primed to make his PGA Tour breakthrough soon. Odds of 90/1 went earlier in the week and 70/1 was too short on Wednesday.
Will Gordon 150/1
One bad round last week ruined his chances of winning but he remains a player we're watching closely and possibly one to consider in-play.
Brandon Matthews 500/1
The big hitter should enjoy the test this week and odds of 500/1 seemed too big for a player who ranked 12th for Greens in Regulation last week.
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