Starts: 30th June 2022
Course: TPC Deere Run
Length: 7,257 yards
2021 Champion: Lucas Glover
Designer: D.A. Weibring
Type of Course: Resort
Used Since: 1971
Fairways: Wide, Bentgrass
Rough: Kentucky Bluegrass with Fine Fescue
Greens: Large, Bentgrass
Par 5's: 2nd, 10th and 17th
Premium on: Birdies, Putting, GIR
Significant Info To Be Aware Of
The event was cancelled in 2020 due to Covid.
We have one of the poorest fields of the year as the stars start to turn their attention towards the Scottish and British Open.
Continue to exercise caution in relation to Covid-19 related withdrawals.
Thursday looks set to be breezy and also the hottest day of the week at 80F. The lead up to the event is all dry and sunny meaning we should see the course play firm, at least until potential thunderstorms on Friday.
Mostly Sunny. Wind 16mph.
Scattered Thunderstorms. Wind 9mph.
Partly Cloudy. Wind 7mph.
Mostly Sunny. Wind 8mph.
Birdies, birdies and more birdies. Only once since 2014 has the winning score been less than -19 and the highest was -27 by Michael Kim in 2018.
Glover was ranked 115th in the world while 2019 champion Dylan Frittelli was a maiden PGA Tour winner playing his debut but was ranked 133rd before the start. Michael Kim was 473rd in the world with only a couple of top 10's on tour prior to winning. The previous winners though - DeChambeau, Moore, Spieth, Harman and Stricker - were all established tour players. In general, this is a course where we can see a surprise.
Silverado Country Club which hosts the Safeway Open was flagged up as another course Dylan Frittelli and Michael Kim had top 10's on. It also yields low scoring so may be worth checking.
Glover had a solid course record with previous finishes of 10-25-15. Frittelli was a debutant and Kim had two finishes of 71-47 prior. Steve Stricker famously won three years in a row between 2009-2011. Course form preferred but not mandatory here.
Only one winner in the last 11 years arrived in red hot form - Jordan Spieth in 2015. Frittelli arrived with form of 46-46-MC and Kim was on a run of missed cuts. Recent form is not a big factor here.
Frittelli was the first non-American winner here since 2010 and still is.
We will look at the stats of the last five winners here.
SG: Off The Tee
Glover was 29th, Frittelli was 10th, Kim 34th, DeChambeau 17th and Moore 23rd. A solid driver is preferred.
93-32-27-21-34. Don't need to be a bomber but hitting it far helps.
41-7-2-32-12. Hitting fairways appears to lead to success here despite the wide targets.
3-60-11-22-2. Apart from Frittelli, generally important here.
Greens in Regulation
20-10-3-11-1. Very important to hit greens regularly this week.
SG: Around The Green
17-2-47-38-32. Not essential.
19-2-1-2-8. A hot putter is key to win here.
Fast or Slow Start
Jordan Spieth was 8 back in 2015 and 6 back in 2013 for his wins, Zach Johnson was 7 back in 2012 and Glover was 5 back last year but generally winners are up with the pace early on. It is possible to play catch up from halfway though, Frittelli and Spieth (twice) were 5 back and Johnson 4 back. Bryson came from 4 back on the final round in 2017 but four of the last seven winners were leading heading into the final round.
The 16th is an easy-ish 167 yard par 3, 17th is an easy par 5 and 18th is a tough par 4.
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