Starts: 8th July 2021
Course: TPC Deere Run
Length: 7,268 yards
2020 Champion: N/A
Overall Profit/Loss: +2pts
Pre-Event Bets: +2pts
0.75pts EW Dylan Frittelli 90/1 @ Betfred (1/5 1-7)
0.5pts EW Harry Higgs 150/1 @ Betfair/Paddy Power (1/5 1-8)
0.25pts EW Bo Van Pelt 400/1 @ Betfair/Paddy Power (1/5 1-8)
1pt EW Kevin Na 40/1 @ Betfair (1/5 1-8)
1pt EW Richy Werenski 66/1 @ Betfair (1/5 1-8)
In-Play Bets: None
Designer: D.A. Weibring
Type of Course: Resort
Used Since: 1971
Fairways: Wide, Bentgrass
Rough: Kentucky Bluegrass with Fine Fescue
Greens: Large, Bentgrass
Par 5's: 2nd, 10th and 17th
Premium on: Birdies, Putting, GIR
Significant Info To Be Aware Of
The event was cancelled in 2020 due to Covid.
Many players will be using this week as a warm up for next week's Open Championship.
Continue to exercise caution in relation to Covid-19 related withdrawals.
A cloudy day on Thursday looks set to be followed by three days of potential thunderstorms. Winds shouldn't be more than 11mph all week meaning scoring should be low.
Mostly cloudy. Wind 8mph.
Scattered Thunderstorms. Wind 9mph.
Scattered Thunderstorms. Wind 9mph.
Scattered Thunderstorms. Wind 11mph.
Birdies, birdies and more birdies. Only once since 2014 has the winning score been less than -20 and the highest was -27 by Michael Kim in 2018.
Dylan Frittelli was a maiden PGA Tour winner playing his debut but was ranked 133rd before the start. Michael Kim was 473rd in the world with only a couple of top 10's on tour prior to winning. The previous winners though - DeChambeau, Moore, Spieth, Harman and Stricker - were all established tour players. In general, this is a course where we can see a surprise.
Silverado Country Club which hosts the Safeway Open was flagged up as another course Dylan Frittelli and Michael Kim had top 10's on. It also yields low scoring so may be worth checking.
Frittelli was a debutant and Kim had two finishes of 71-47 prior. Steve Stricker famously won three years in a row between 2009-2011. Course form preferred but not mandatory here.
Only one winner in the last 10 years arrived in red hot form - Jordan Spieth in 2015. Frittelli arrived with form of 46-46-MC and Kim was on a run of missed cuts. Recent form is not a big factor here.
Frittelli was the first non-American winner here since 2010.
We will look at the stats of the last four winners here.
SG: Off The Tee
Frittelli was 10th, Kim 34th, DeChambeau 17th and Moore 23rd. A solid driver is preferred.
32-27-21-34. Don't need to be a bomber but hitting it far helps.
7-2-32-12. Hitting fairways appears to lead to success here despite the wide targets.
60-11-22-2. Apart from Frittelli, generally important here.
Greens in Regulation
10-3-11-1. Very important to hit greens regularly this week.
SG: Around The Green
2-47-38-32. Not essential.
2-1-2-8. A hot putter is key to win here.
The 500 yard Par 4 9th hole averaged 4.2 in 2019. Par 4's 15th and 18th also played over par.
The par 5s all played under par and the short par 4 14th hole averaged 3.6 in 2019.
Fast or Slow Start
Jordan Spieth was 8 back in 2015 and 6 back in 2013 for his wins and Zach Johnson was 7 back in 2012 but generally winners are up with the pace early on. It is possible to play catch up from halfway though, Frittelli and Spieth (twice) were 5 back and Johnson 4 back. Bryson came from 4 back on the final round in 2017 but four of the last six winners were leading heading into the final round.
The 16th is an easy-ish 167 yard par 3, 17th is an easy par 5 and 18th is a tough par 4.
You can subscribe for our pre-event tips for the remainder of 2021 for £149. You can sign up by clicking the button below.