Starts: 15th September 2022
Course: Silverado Resort & Spa, CA
Length: 7,166 yards
2021 Champion: Max Homa
Tournament played here since: 2014
Type of Course: Classic, tree lined.
Fairways: Tight, tree lined.
Rough: Kentucky Bluegrass, not too penal.
Greens: Small, Narrow, Average Pace, Undulating, Poa-annua.
Water: In-play on 2 holes, 11 and 15.
Par 5's: 5th, 9th, 16th and 18th
Premium on: Strong iron play and scrambling.
Significant Info To Be Aware Of
It's the start of a new season on the PGA Tour so some players may be playing with a fresh mindset and many will be well rested having not qualified for the playoff events.
Thurs - Partly Cloudy. Wind 11mph.
Fri - Sunny. Wind 11mph.
Sat - Partly Cloudy. Wind 11mph.
Sun - Mostly Sunny. Wind 10mph.
Homa's winning score last year of -19 has only been beaten by Stewart Cink's winning score of -21 in 2021. The previous five editions were between -14 and -18.
Five of the last seven winners had recorded a top 40 finish at this course before they won. Brendan Steele (2017) was the only player to have recorded a top 15 finish prior to winning. Course form isn't essential.
Whilst previous course form might not be essential, course experience has been, six of the last seven winners had played this event before.
Only Emilliano Grillo had posted top 10 finishes in his previous 3 events before winning. Max Homa hadn't finished better than 25th in his last seven starts. Form not essential.
Homa was ranked 44th in the world prior to his win and it was his 3rd PGA Tour title. Stewart Cink was ranked 319th but was also an experienced winner. Champ was winning his 2nd title in 2019 whilst Kevin Tway won his maiden title here in 2018.
Links to California
Four of the last six winners had links to California, whether that be place of birth, college or residence.
Two of the last eight winners were 1st for driving distance but Homa was only 41st last year. Distance can be an advantage here.
Three of the last eight winners were top 10 for driving accuracy and Homa ranked 15th last year. It is slightly preferred over distance.
Greens in Regulation
All eight winners were in the top 30 for GIR and Cink was 1st in 2021. It's of strong importance to hit the greens here.
Max Homa only ranked 74th last year but the three prior winners were 1st or 2nd for scrambling and all of the seven prior winners have been in the top 10.
Two of the last eight winners have been in top 10 for putts per GIR including Homa who was 2nd last year.
The 2nd and 13th played as the two hardest holes in 2021.
16-18 is an easy stretch. 5th and 9th are reachable par 5's.
Fast or Slow Start
It is possible to win from off the pace. In 2021, Homa was three back and Cink was two back heading into the final round in 2020. Cameron Champ led by three after round 3 in 2019 en route to victory, but the 5 previous winners all began round 3 at least 2 behind. Homa was 7 shots back at halfway last year, Steele was 9 back after 36 holes in 2016 and Grillo was 6 back after 36 holes in 2015. Fast starts are not essential.
Players We Almost Backed
NOTE - These are players who we shortlisted for this event but ultimately didn't advise to subscribers. If you want to find out who we did tip, you can subscribe using the link below.
Hideki Matsuyama 18/1
Could be a price we look back on and regret passing up. Finished 6th here last year when not in great form and was 9th in 72 hole scoring last time out at the Tour Championship. Injury concerns and next week's President's Cup are the only factors putting us off.
Doc Redman 100/1
Former US Amateur winner at Riviera who has a 3rd place finish at this event. Finished 10th on his last start on the Korn Ferry Tour. One to support when in form but 100/1 was just too short to provide any value.
Beau Hossler 150/1
Consecutive top 25 finishes in this event and a California native, he ticks a lot of boxes. However, an inconsistent player who may be better backed after the opening round.
Will Gordon 150/1
A player we rate very highly, recent form on the Korn Ferry Tour reads 5-5-1-46-26. Has played this event once before so should hit the ground running.
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