Event Info

Starts: 29th April 2021
Course: Golf Costa Adeje, Tenerife
Par: 71 (35-36)
Length: 6,857 yards
2020 Champion: N/A

Results

Overall Profit/Loss: -12pts

Pre-Event Bets: -8pts

1.5pts EW Victor Dubuisson 28/1 @ Ladbrokes (1/5 1-8)
0.75pts EW Sami Valimaki 40/1 @ Skybet (1/5/1-6)
0.75pts EW Jeff Winther 55/1 @ Bet365 (1/4 1-5)
0.5pts EW Darius Van Driel 100/1 @ Skybet (1/5/1-6)
0.5pts EW Jack Senior 125/1 @ Bet365 (1/4 1-5)

In-Play Bets: -4pts

30 April 2021 (-1pt)
0.5pts EW Paul Waring  - 100/1 @ Skybet (1/5 1-5)

1 May 2021 (-1pt)
0.5pts EW Yikeun Chang  - 80/1 @ General (1/5 1-4)

2 May 2021 (-2pts)
1pt Win Only Garrick Higgo - 11/1 @ Paddy Power
1pt Win Only John Catlin - 16/1 @ William Hill

Preview

Course Info

Designer: Jose Gancedo
Type of Course: Resort
Used Since: N/A
Fairways: Paspalum
Greens: TifEagle Bermuda
Par 5's: 1st, 3rd, 11th, 13th & 18th
Premium on: Putting

Significant Info To Be Aware Of

This course has six par 3s and five par 5s.

The course will also be used next week for the Canary Islands Championship.

Continue to exercise caution in relation to Covid-19 related withdrawals.

Weather Forecast

Thursday
Sunny and a light breeze. Max winds 6mph.
Friday
Sunny in the morning with chance of showers in the afternoon. Max winds 15mph in afternoon.
Saturday
Sunny intervals and fresh breeze. Consistent winds of 14mph throughout the day.
Sunday
Sunny intervals and fresh breeze. Max winds 14mph.

Trends

Winning score
This course is being used for the first time since 2003 when -22 won. Garrick Higgo set a European Tour record low score at last week's Gran Canaria Lopesan Open and given this is a similar resort style course, we should expect plenty of birdies this week.

Winning Profile
This course is being used for the first time since 2003 when it hosted the Canarias Open de Espana.  Kenneth Ferrie won that week, winning his first title on the European Tour.  Ferrie was 25 at the time of his win and had won several events on the Challenge Tour.

Correlating Courses 
Course designer Jose Gancedo has designed several courses in Spain but none provide much assistance.

Course form
This course is being used for the first time since 2003 so little in the way of course form to analyse.  Only a few of the older players will have played here in 2003.

Recent form
Kenneth Ferrie finished 16th at the Open de Portugal the week before he won here in 2003.  Of the other four players who finished in the top 5 in 2003, only Brian Davis (2nd week before) had displayed any form in the Open de Portugal.

Stats Analysis

Stats aren't available from 2003 but the first five men home were largely renowned for their accuracy off the tee.  A hot putter will be essential this week.

In Play

In 2003, Kenneth Ferrie jointly led after round 3 and a final round 69 was enough to take the title.  

 

Pre-Event Tips

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Inplay

Tenerife Open In-Play Blog

1st May 2021, 11.55pm

PlayerTotal
Von Dellingshausen -17
Samooja -17
Burmester -16
Chang -15
Meronk -15
Garcia Rodriguez -15

Kalle Samooja has caught Nicolai Von Dellingshausen at the top of the leaderboard and is now 3/1 favourite to take the trophy in Tenerife.  Both players are yet to win on the European Tour and it'll likely be a tight contest given their nearest challengers lack experience too.

Samooja did little wrong when losing out in a playoff to Callum Shinkwin in November last year at the Cyprus Open and he's a deserving favourite.  He won the Hainan Open on the Challenge Tour in 2018 and it wouldn't be a surprise to see him go on to win tomorrow.  With that said, he'll need to improve his approach play as his score today was largely reliant on his short game.

Co-leader Von Dellingshausen admitted to nerves during his third round and it's hard not to think he won't be affected tomorrow.  He hasn't won since 2017 and even then his only career wins have come on the Pro Golf Tour.

The four players below the leaders only have one win on tghe European Tour between them (Dean Burmester - 2017 Tshwane Open) and it wouldn't be a total shock to see John Catlin and Garrick Higgo emerge from three shots back to contend.  Both players have proven they know how to win in recent events and their experience could tell tomorrow.

A solid round from yesterday's 80/1 in-play pick, Yikeun Chang, sees him remain in contention at 15 under.  We are adding two more bets.


Round 4 Bets

  • 1pt Win Only Garrick Higgo 11/1 @ Paddy Power
  • 1pt Win Only John Catlin 16/1 @ William Hill

With doubts over those at the top of the leaderboard we are more than happy to get two experienced winners onside.  Only three shots off the pace, Catlin and Higgo will relish the chance to add to their titles in the past few weeks.  Both players fired an opening 63 this week and have shown they are capable of a low round.  There's no reason to think they can't go low in the final round and we're happy to take them at double figure odds.

 

30 April 2021, 9pm

PlayerTotal
Von Dellingshausen -16
Angles -13
Samooja -12
Hend -12
Jamieson -12
Rousaud -12

We have a surprise leader in Tenerife, with world ranked 571st Nicolai Von Dellingshausen three shots ahead of Pep Angles. Many of the chasing pack are also seeking their first European Tour title so we look set for an interesting weekend.

Our German leader doesn’t have full European Tour playing privileges so will have that extra weight to carry as he looks to defend the lead. He does have experience of leading after rounds two and three of the 2020 Austrian Open, but could only manage a 15th place finish.

After his round he commented that he learnt a great deal from that experience and looks to concentrate on the present, instead of looking too far ahead. He described himself as a “thinker”, which means it’s not natural for him not to think too far ahead.

Whether he can manage his thoughts correctly will decide his fate from here, but given the nature of the scoring he will have to keep his foot on the gas to keep the chasers at bay. We won’t be backing him at 11/4 with 36 holes to go.

If he does stumble, it’s very much all to play for and it’s likely we get a maiden winner as it stands. Kalle Samooja is best ranked in the world at 131st.

A word of caution though. The wind has picked up both days in the afternoon, so we could see some big moves up the leaderboard. Jamieson showed just what can be done in the mornings with a course record 61.


Round 3 Bet

  • 0.5pts Each Way Yikeun Chang 80/1 @ General (1/5 1-4)

The Korean is in 7th place and five shots behind. He is on the back of four missed cuts but was 19th in Qatar at the start of the year in a stronger field than this. Odds of 80/1 appear disrespectful for someone with his CV. The Korean has three wins in Asia since 2017 and he wouldn't be the first from that continent to upset the favourites at big odds on tour. With no obvious value elsewhere, let's have a small play on Chang and see how the leaderboard develops tomorrow.



29 April 2021, 8pm

PlayerTotal
Olesen -9
Burmester -8
Higgo -8
Catlin -8
Bjork -8

Thorbjorn Olesen continued his fine play from last week with an opening 62 and leads by one shot from John Catlin, Alexander Bjork, last week’s winner Garrick Higgo and Dean Burmester, who was the best of the afternoon scorers.

Catlin was on 59 watch after playing his first 13 holes in 10 under but went backwards instead with two bogeys coming in.

Bookmakers now rate Olesen and Higgo joint 11/2 favourites and, of the two, we much prefer Higgo after last week’s evidence - Olesen led after two rounds but looked very defensive when he hit the front, whereas Higgo thrived with the lead.

Contrary to the forecast, which suggested there was no draw bias, the morning starters definitely got the easier of the conditions as the wind picked up in the afternoon.

If the same happens tomorrow, Dean Burmester, Joost Luiten (6 under)  and Laurie Canter (6 under) are in a great position with early starts.

We see one player as value ahead of the second round.


Round 2 Bet

  • 0.5pts Each Way Paul Waring 100/1 @ Skybet (1/5 1-5)

Paul is four under and has some ground to make up but he is talking positively to the media, saying his game is in great shape. He has a nice early start and is more than capable of going low. A winner on tour in 2018, he was been underachieving in the last year or so and we should expect him to contend soon.