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Omega European Masters 2024

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2024 European Masters Event Info

Starts: 5th September 2024
Course: Crans-sur-Sierre GC, Switzerland
Par: 70
Length: 6,823 yards
2023 Champion: Ludvig Aberg

2024 Omega European Masters Tips

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2024 European Masters Course Info

Designer: Renovated by Seve Ballesteros
Type of Course: Short and fiddly, elevated by 4000ft above sea level.
Used Since: 1939. No event in 2020. 
Fairways: Tree-lined and undulating.
Greens: Small, Undulated, Poa/Bent.
Water Hazard: In-play on six holes, all of which on the back nine.
Par 5's: 9th, 14th and 15th.
Premium on: Form at altitude.

Significant Info To Be Aware Of 

We have plenty of course form here to help us. The altitude and uniqueness of the course gives it a character all of its own.

At 6,823 yards, it is one of the shortest on tour. The ball travels 10% further due to altitude so there is a heavy emphasis on plotting your way around.

2024 European Masters Weather Forecast 

Thursday
Cloudy with periods of rain. Wind max 12mph.

Friday
Partly Sunny. Wind max 8mph.

Saturday
Partly Sunny. Wind max 10mph.

Sunday 
Partly sunny, scattered showers possibly by late afternoon. Wind max 10mph.

2024 European Masters Trends

Winning score
Since 2001 has ranged from -13 to -20. Last year was -19 whilst 2022 was -18. We should expect a similar winning score this week.  

Winning Profile 
We have plenty of repeat winners here: Fitzpatrick (2017 and 2018), Bjorn (2011 and 2013) and Noren (2009 and 2016). Soderberg was ranked 287th before his win in 2019 but the majority of recent winners have been of a high European Tour calibre. 2022 winner Thriston Lawrence had won earlier in the season in South Africa whilst Aberg went on to win on the PGA Tour weeks later in 2023. 

Recent Form 
The last five winners had a top 10 in their previous start. It may pay to back an in form player this week.

Course Form
The last four winners, Ludvig Aberg, Thriston Lawrence, Rasmus Hojgaard and Sebastian Soderberg, won on their debuts but the four winners prior had two top 10's at Crans previously. 

2024 European Masters Stats Analysis

We only have five years worth of Strokes Gained stats so we use traditional stats for the past seven years to gain an additional insight.

SG: Off The Tee
The past five winners ranked 4-97-2-16-2.  Putting yourself in good positions off the tee is a huge advantage.

Driving Distance 
The past seven winners ranked 7-103-40-35-134-87-69.

Driving Accuracy 
The past seven winners ranked 44-101-3-53-5-34-89.

SG: Approach
The past five winners ranked 2-1-6-52-27.

Greens in Regulation
The past seven winners ranked 2-15-5-56-3-21-29. Hitting the small greens this week is advantageous.

SG: Around The Green
The past three winners ranked 44-30-118-16-35.

SG: Putting
The past three winners ranked 75-29-17-27-35.

2024 European Masters In-Play Advice

Tough Holes
The 1st, 3rd, 4th and 5th were among the six hardest holes on the course last year.  Do keep this in mind if betting in-play.

Birdie Holes
The three par 5's and the driveable par 4 7th played easiest in 2023.

Fast or Slow Start
Catch up is possible here although Aberg was never more than three behind last year and Lawrence and Wallace were up with the pace after every round on route to a playoff in 2022 .

Only three winners in the past seven years has been inside the top 12 after the opening round.  Three of the last seven winners have been outside the top 30 after round one.

The last seven winners have all been inside the top 15 after round two.  Rasmus Hojgaard was the first winner in the last seven years to have won from a position outside the top 10 after three rounds.

 

2024 Omega European Masters Tips

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In-play

Omega European Masters In-Play Blog

7th September 2024, 8:55pm (UK time)

 
PlayerTotal
Wallace -11
Garcia-Heredia -7
Norlander -6
Johnston -6
Four Players Tied -5

2024 Omega European Masters Round 3 Conditions

Sunny but extremely windy with players making trebles and quadruple bogeys on some holes.

2024 Omega European Masters Round 4 Weather Bias?

Heavy rain possible and a thunderstorm late afternoon is forecast. It will be significantly less windy though than round three, with the wind peaking at 10mph.

Round 4 Outright Market Summary

Matt Wallace retained his four shot lead despite some questionable play early on.  Wallace got himself out of jail on several occasions with the putter and took advantage of birdie opportunities to remain in the driving seat gong into the final round.  The Englishman is now a best price of 2/5.

Wallace converted a third round lead at the 2018 Indian Open but he hasn't impressed lately when leading after 54 holes.  On each of the last seven occasions Wallace has led through three rounds, he has been unable to finish the job. 

It shouldn't be forgotten that Wallace is a winner on the PGA Tour and a four time winner on the DP World Tour but front running hasn't been his forte.  If the forecasted heavy rain does materialise, we could yet see Wallace struggle and a winner emerge from off the pace.  

Eye Catching Prices

Matt Wallace to shoot over 68.5 shots 8/11 @ Bet365
We've highlighted Wallace's record when leading and with weather set to potentially make conditions difficult, it wouldn't be a surprise to see Wallace to drop a few shots in his final round.  The short par fours and reachable par five 14th hole should see him make a few birdies but it's entirely possible he shoots 69 or worse in the final round, especially as he looks to protect a big lead.

Omega European Masters Round 4 Bets

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6th September 2024, 8:35pm (UK time)

 
PlayerTotal
Wallace -14
Fitzpatrick A -10
Norlander -9
Smith -9
Three Players Tied -8

2024 Omega European Masters Round 2 Conditions

A sunny day in the Swiss Alps saw a 62 and 64 amongst some other low scores.

2024 Omega European Masters Round 3 Weather Bias?

Sunny with wind forecasted of 10-15mph.

Round 3 Outright Market Summary

Matt Wallace shot the round of the day and takes a four shot lead into the weekend. Matt Fitzpatrick has fallen away but his brother Alex remains his closest challenger. Wallace was one of the pre-event favourites and has been hinting a big week is around the corner recently. It's a big lead for a class act such as him although it should be noted that he failed to convert two 54 hole leads on the DP World Tour in 2023. He's yet to be tested this year but he may have an unassailable lead at the end of round three. 

Eye Catching Prices

None of Note

Omega European Masters Round 3 Bets

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5th September 2024, 8:35pm (UK time)

 
PlayerTotal
Garcia-Heredia -7
Fitzpatrick A -7
Norlander -6
Scrivener -6
Huizing -6
Wallace -6
Seven Players Tied -5

2024 Omega European Masters Round 1 Conditions

The morning starters enjoyed the better conditions despite the scores, with the rain causing the afternoon starters problems for an hour or so.

2024 Omega European Masters Round 2 Weather Bias?

Barely any wind is forecast tomorrow with perfect conditions all day. No bias.

Round 2 Outright Market Summary

Matt Wallace is narrow favourite over the Fitzpatrick brothers and all three can be backed between 5/1 and 15/2. With 37 players within four shots of the lead and low scores available tomorrow, none of those prices are tempting us in and there looks to be better value further down the board. 

Eye Catching Prices

Richie Ramsay 66/1 @ SpreadEx
Most bookmakers have priced Ramsay up at 30/1 so this is a price which must be taken if you have an account. Ramsay looked strong all day on the tv coverage and is perfectly suited to the test here - a former winner with two other top 10's at Crans. 

Omega European Masters Round 2 Bets

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