Starts: 21st October
Course: Golf Santa Ponsa, Spain
Length: 7,156 Yards
2020 Champion: N/A
Overall Profit/Loss: -12pts
Pre-Event Bets: -7pts
1pt EW Richard Mansell 45/1 @ William Hill (1/5 1-6)
0.75pts EW Niall Kearney 66/1 @ William Hill (1/5 1-6)
0.75pts EW Marcel Siem 66/1 @ Betfair (1/5 1-7)
0.5pts EW Nacho Elvira 100/1 @ Betfair (1/5 1-7)
0.5pts EW Adrian Saddier 125/1 @ Unibet (1/5 1-6)
In-Play Bets: -5pts
21 October 2021(-2.5pts)
0.75pts EW Rhys Enoch 66/1 @ Boylesports (1/4 1-5)
0.5pts EW Ashun Wu 85/1 @ 888Sport (1/5 1-5)
23 October 2021(-2.5pts)
2.5pts Win Only Jorge Campillo 10/3 @ Skybet
Designer: Folco Nardi
Type of Course: Coastal, resort
Last Used: 1998
Water Hazards: In-play on 8 holes.
Premium on: Coastal form, strong drivers.
This is one of the weakest fields of the season with only one player from the top 100.
We return to a classical design by the coast this week. With no course form we should be looking for previous form at tracks by the sea.
Continue to exercise caution in relation to Covid-19 related withdrawals.
Conditions should be dry and sunny all week with temperatures peeking in the mid 20's. Friday looks set to be the windiest day with potential gusts of up to 25mph.
Sunny, max winds 9mph.
Sunny, max winds 14mph.
Sunny, max winds 7mph.
Partly cloudy, max winds 7mph.
This course is being used for the first time since 1998 so we don't trends to analyse. The winning score has ranged from -6 to -16 but golf has progressed since then and we should expect something in the late teens this week.
With this being the first event played here, we have no stats available to us. A quote below gives us an insight however,
"Designed by Folco Nardi (together with Pepe Gancedo), Golf Santa Ponsa I covers an area of 73 hectares and is a long course with lakes and a great variety of trees (olive, pine, almond etc). It appeals to all kinds of players thanks to the wide fairways and the tees where long hitters will enjoy themselves without forgetting the short game tuned to a good result." (Course website).
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Mallorca Golf Open In-Play Blog
22nd October 2021, 8.10pm (UK time)
|Three Players Tied||-10|
A second 62 of the week for Jeff Winther gave the Dane a two shot lead with 18 holes to go at the Mallorca Golf Open.
Winther has yet to win on the European Tour and he acknowledged in his post round interview the need to control his nerves during the final round. Yet to win as a pro, he's been unconvincing when near the lead and performed badly when holding a two shot lead at the halfway stage at the Qatar Masters in March.
Only a few weeks ago he was 6th after three rounds at the Alfred Dunhill Links and slipped back to 14th with a poor final round.
In short, the 11/8 on Winther isn't a price we could contemplate backing. We've seen throughout 2021 just how hard it is to convert a lead on the European Tour and Winther certainly isn't the most convincing prospect.
The bookmakers rate Jorge Campillo (10/3) as the man most likley to pip Winther. The Spaniard is seeking to win for the third time in as many seasons and has experience of going up against Winther, having pipped him for his Qatar Masters win in 2020.
Sebastian Soderberg (13/2) threw away last week's Andalucia Masters and will surely use that experience tomorrow. We've seen a number of players this season win shortly after a disappointment (Callum Hill, Rasmus Hojgaard and Johannes Veerman to nme a few) and he'll be hoping to follow that trend. We shouldn't forget that he played well last Sunday for 16 holes.
Unlike Soderberg, Alvaro Quiros (7/1) has been out of contention for quite a while. It's been over two years since the Spaniard was in serious contention and that may well count against him. However, he possesses seven European Tour wins, far more than anyone else on this leaderboard, and can draw on those experiences.
Those further back are also still in with a shout. A round of 62 from anyone in the top 10 would surely ask a question.
Round 4 Bet
- 2.5pts Win Only Jorge Campillo 10/3 @ Skybet
With Winther expected to falter, Jorge Campillo is our tip to take this title. The Spaniard won the Spanish Under 14 title at this course and he's quoted as saying he "still remembers it like it was yesterday." He can draw on those positive memories to get the job done tomorrow. All aspects of the Spaniard's game are in good working order, ranking inside the top 10 for SG: Approach and SG: Putting through three rounds and gaining strokes off the tee too. He's shown bottle when winning opportunities have arisen and this is a perfect opportunity to make it win number 3 on the European Tour.
22nd October 2021, 7.10pm (UK time)
|Seven Players Tied||-6|
Tougher conditions in the morning kept the scoring down today but Bryce Easton was able to play 17 holes in four under par to hold a four shot lead overnight. He has round one leader Jeff Winther and three Spaniards chasing and is now best priced 5/1.
Easton has won twice on the African Tour, most recently in 2018, and a best finish of 3rd at the South African Open, also in 2018. It's not been a strong couple of years though with only two top 10's since 2019 and he may have hit the front too early.
It was evident in his last few holes that he was leaving himself a lot of testing par putts and he may not be holing these as the pressure ramps up over the weekend.
Laurie Canter and our 45/1 pre-event play Richard Mansell made good moves today and are a big threat to the leader. The market is expecting Easton to collapse tomorrow and we can't identify any value. We will cheer on Mansell with no bets.
The forecast is predicting a steady wind of around 12mph tomorrow so enough to keep the players thinking. We are expecting considerable movement in the leaderboard.
Round 3 Bet
- No Bet
21st October 2021, 9.10pm (UK time)
Jeff Winther fired a morning 62 to lead by a shot at the Mallorca Golf Open.
The Dane is now the 9/1 favourite to capture a first European Tour title but with a mixed weather forecast for Round 2, we aren't in any rush to back him at single figure odds.
Alvaro Quiros (18/1) and Bernd Ritthammer (66/1) were the pick of the afternoon starters and they'll be hoping to set a target tomorrow morning before the winds freshen in the afternoon.
Jorge Campillo and Matti Schmid need to be respected in the group at six under par. Campillo is searching for his third European Tour win whilst Schmid has made an extremely favourable impression since turning pro.
There is a mixed forecast for tomorrow's play with rain likely throughout the day and the wind expected to gust in excess of 20mph in the afternoon. There is also the possibility of play being delayed due to thunder. Should a delay occur, those players with a late tee time will likely play some (or all) of their second round in much nicer conditions on Saturday morning.
Round 2 Bet
- 0.75pts Each Way Rhys Enoch 66/1 @ Boylesports (1/4 1-5)
The possibility of lightning makes the prices of several later starters quite appealing. One of those players is Rhys Enoch. The Welshman has a 2.20pm tee time and could well end up playing a lot of his round on Saturday morning. A winner earlier this year on the Sunshine Tour, he warmed up for this event with a 12th place finish on the same Tour last week. Four shots back after the opening round, he's capable of making progress over the next three days.
- 0.5pts Each Way Ashun Wu 85/1 @ 888Sport (1/5 1-5)
Ashun is another with a late tee time in Round 2. A three time winner on the European Tour, he's been quiet the last few years but is capable of a win here. He too finds himself four shots back going into round 2 but he ranked 6th SG: Approach in round one and if he continues in that vein he'll challenge on Sunday. Take the 80/1 generally available if you don't have access to 888Sport.