2023 Magical Kenya Open Tips

10 March 2023, 5:25pm (UK time)

2023 Magical Kenya Open Round 2 Summary

The draw hasn't evened up as we expected it with six of the top seven coming from the AM-PM wave. No one was able to match Hisatsune's morning 62 but leader Nacho Elvira and Jayden Schaper both shot 65.

Notable Round 2 Magical Kenya Open Quotes

"I was putting well, the greens are similar in Japan. I can see the reads and make the putts and a lot of birdies." Ryo Hisatsune

 2023 Magical Kenya Open Round 3 Weather

Partly sunny and breezy PM with chance of evening showers. Wind 10-20mph.

How do we expect the market favourites to perform?

Jayden Schaper is a deserved 9/2 favourite given his potential and consistency of late. It must be noted though that he is winless despite this form and let a great chance slip at the Fortress Invitational in South Africa in October. He was a ruthless winner in his amateur days but is yet to prove himself in contention at this level so we are happy to pass at the odds. 

Ryo Hisatsune is 2nd favourite at 15/2 but that is not a price we could entertain. The youngster still has a lot to learn and recent efforts in contention have been questionable. A 78 in Oman last month when 2nd after 54 holes and he finished 28th at Ras Al Khaimah after leading on round one/4th at halfway. 

Elvira is only third favourite despite holding the lead and 10/1 is a tempting proposition. The last time the Spaniard held the halfway lead was at the Cazoo Open in Wales and he shot 66 to take six shot lead into Sunday which he converted. He was one back at halfway at last years Steyn City Championship in Africa too, this time faring not so well finishing 3rd. He looks the best price out of the three.

Where is the value?

With the wind set to increase in the afternoon again, we are targeting value from off the pace.

 

Round 3 Bets

{slider=Round 2 Bets}

9 March 2023, 4:25pm (UK time)

2023 Magical Kenya Open Round 1 Summary

The wind picking up in the afternoon caused a scoring bias, 9 of the top 10 played in the morning including the top four.

Notable Round 1 Magical Kenya Open Quotes

"The greens are quite soft in the morning, they definitely firm up throughout the day. As soon as the wind picks up and the heat gets up they firm up and get faster, much tougher. It’s definitely an advantage to play early in the morning." Dylan Mostert

"It’s very fine margins. I was able to take two weeks off, put some work in on my game and it feels like it’s starting to pay off, so I’m really excited about that." John Catlin

 2023 Magical Kenya Open Round 2 Weather

Sunny start, then partly sunny PM. Wind 8-12mph.

How do we expect the market favourites to perform?

John Catlin is 10/1 favourite after showing the form which led him to win three DP World Tour titles. The most recent of those came almost two years ago though and Catlin has only been able to post a best finish of 59th in five starts this year. With the forecast set to favour the early starters, he looks too short in the betting.

Gavin Green is next at 18/1 and that looks a far more tempting proposition. Green's ball striking was of a high standard in India on route to finishing 8th and he is a player who holds form well. Last year, he posted back to back 2nd's and also a run of 11-2-7. It was annoying to see him finish with two birdies as it has crushed his price but we wouldn't put anyone off the 18/1 still available.

Out of the group between 20-30's in the betting, Will Besseling looks worth a mention at 20/1. He has plenty of form at tougher venues - 2nd at Porsche Open last year, 3rd at Valderrama in 2020 and 4rd in Africa at the Alfred Dunhill Championship in 2019. An afternoon tee time tomorrow puts us off him for now though.

Where is the value?

With the wind set to increase in the afternoon again, we are targeting early starters tomorrow.

 

Round 2 Bets