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FedEx Open de France 2024

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2024 FedEx Open de France Tips

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2024 FedEx Open de France Event Info

Starts: 10th October 2024
Course: Le Golf National, France
Par: 71
Length: 7,247 yards
Defending Champion: Ryo Hisatsune

2024 FedEx Open de France Course Info

Designer: Hubert Chesneau and Robert Van Hagge.
Used Since: 1991 (No events held 2020-2021)
Fairways: Average, Undulating.
Greens: Average, Bentgrass.
Water Hazards: On 1, 2, 13, 15, 16 and 18.
Premium on: Approach and putting.
 

Significant Info

This course hosted the Ryder Cup in 2018 and underwent changes to the course prior to the 2016 Open De France, therefore the events between 2016-2019, and the 2022 edition, are most relevant from a course form point of view.

European Golf Design, the firm tasked with the re-design, were also responsible for the 2010 course at Celtic Manor, Green Eagle Golf (Nord) and Marco Simeone GC.

The event was traditionally played in June/July as a rolex series event however was pushed back to October in 2019 and now fills a slot in October. Course conditions from the 2019, 2022 and 2023 editions are therefore most similar.

 

2024 FedEx Open de France Weather

Thursday
Light rain and gentle breeze. Wind 10-12mph.

Friday
Light rain and gentle breeze. Wind 2-4mph.

Saturday
Light rain and gentle breeze. Wind 2-4mph.

Sunday
Sunny and warmer. Wind 3-5mph.

2024 FedEx Open de France Trends

Winning Score
Hisatsune won with 14 under par last year whilst he winning score was 16 under par in 2022 with only two players finishing better than 11 under par. 12 under par won in 2019 whilst Alex Noren only won with 7 under par in 2018. The years between 2015-2017 were all won with scores between 11-13 under par. With barely any wind forecast this week, expect a winning score in the high teens.  

Course Form
Hisatsune was making his course debut. Migliozzi had missed the cut in his only prior start. In 2019, Colsaerts had a couple of T11's previously but nothing special. 2018 winner Noren took a while to warm up to the course but had posted back to back top 10's before his win. 2017 winner Fleetwood had missed 4/4 cuts before his win in 2017.  Course form helps but isn't essential.

Recent Form
Hisatsune had missed his last two cuts. Miglozzi was in steady form with five top 40's in a row (no top 10's though). Colsaerts was having a poor year, with only one top 10 before his win in October 2019. Noren was in much better form before his win, with four top 25's in a row whilst arrived in red hot form too in 2017. Thongchai Jaidee was in fairly average form before his win in 2016. Form not essential, but has helped in some years.

Winner's Profile
Migliozzi, Colsaerts, Noren, Fleetwood and Jaidee were all established winners on tour, whilst Hisatsune was a big talent despite lack of experience. We should be looking for a classy winner this week. 

2024 FedEx Open de France Stats

With the 2019, 2022 and 2023 editions most relevant, we will analyse the stats of the top four in 2019, the runaway top two in 2022 and winner of 2023.

SG: Off The Tee
56-45-70-6-63-45-12.  Strong drivers of the golf ball are preferred but not essential.

Driving Accuracy
9-119-95-55-57-51-105.  Driving accuracy isn't essential this week.

Driving Distance
61-4-63-4-79-28-30.  Distance over accuracy this week but not crucial.

SG: Approach
7-55-2-7-28-8-12.  Strong iron play is generally required here.

SG: Tee to Green
10-19-3-2-34-9-28.  You can putt your way to a big finish, as JB Hansen did in 2019.  Strong ball striking is preferred though.

SG: Around The Green
76-17-19-43-57-35-101. ATG isn't essential this week.

SG: Putting
9-2-12-23-2-16-5. A solid putting week is usually required around Le Golf National.

2024 FedEx Open de France In-Play Tips

Tough Holes
The final four holes can play really tough, in particular 18 which was the toughest hole in 2023, whilst it is also a tough start with 1,2 and 4 all averaging over par. 

In-Play

Ten of the last thirteen round three leaders have not been able to convert, most notably in 2018 winner Alex Noren trailed by seven and Graeme McDowell trailed by eight! Players have also come from two, three, four (twice) and five back (twice) in the last ten editions. Don't be scared to take on the leader on Sunday if he is vulnerable.

 

2024 FedEx Open de France Tips

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In-play

2023 FedEx Open de France In-Play Blog

12th October 2024, 8:15pm (UK time)

 
PlayerTotal
Svensson -13
Olesen -12
Bairstow -12
Dean -11
Bradbury -11
Five Players Tied -8

2024 Open de France Round 3 Conditions

Soft underfoot once again with very little breeze and sunny intervals.

2024 Open de France Round 4 Weather Bias?

Should be a perfect day for golf with sunshine and very little breeze.

Round 4 Outright Market Summary

Jesper Svensson (3/1 best price) edges Thorbjorn Olesen for favouritism with the bookmakers.  Svensson hit 16 of 18 greens in round three and a short missed putt on the 17th was his only real error on the greens all day.  

Svensson's win earlier this year at the Singapore Classic came from off the pace, a final round 63 sealing victory that day. He did lead after three rounds two months ago at the Czech Masters, shooting a respectable 69 to lose out to a fast finishing David Ravetto.  The Swede's record in contention is solid and he should go close tomorrow.

Svensson will have to overcome a strong trend which suggests final round leaders don't fare well at Le Golf National.  Ten of the last thirteen round three leaders have failed to convert and big comebacks are possible.  We're in no rush to back the favourite.  The finish at Le Golf National is tough and it would be no surprise to see a chaser post a score and watch the leaders falter over the final few holes.

Our 750/1 pre-event selection, Simon Forsstrom, would be the dream winner for us but we would certainly settle for Joe Dean (150/1) or Francesco Laporta (125/1) to emerge as the winner tomorrow afternoon!

Eye Catching Prices

Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen Top 20 Finish - 4/5 @ Spreadex
Neergaard-Petersen ranks 10th SG: Tee to Green for the week so far and looks to be a good price to record a third consecutive top 20 finish on the DP World Tour.  Currently in the group in tied 15th position, Neergaard-Petersen is as short as 8/15 with some other bookmakers, making the 4/5 on offer with Spreadex a standout price.  

Open de France Round 4 Bets

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11th October 2024, 7:15pm (UK time)

 
PlayerTotal
Bradbury -9
Detry -9
Svensson -9
Five Players Tied -8

2024 Open de France Round 2 Conditions

Soft conditions and sunny with light winds.

2024 Open de France Round 3 Weather Bias?

Sunny with a light breeze of 5-10mph. No bias

Round 3 Outright Market Summary

Thorbjorn Olesen finished with a double and as a result Rasmus Hojgaard and Thomas Detry head into the weekend as 9/2 favourites. Olesen and Svensson aren't too far behind at around 7/1 but 35 players are still within five shots and this is a wide open event. 

Eye Catching Prices

None.

Open de France Round 3 Bets

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10th October 2024, 9:05pm (UK time)

 
PlayerTotal
Olesen -6
Dean -6
Svensson -6
Five Players Tied -5

2024 Open de France Round 1 Conditions

Soft conditions with the odd afternoon shower. Wind 5-10mph.

2024 Open de France Round 2 Weather Bias?

Sunny with a light breeze of 5-10mph. Morning starters performed better today so may be favoured slightly again tomorrow. 

Round 2 Outright Market Summary

Co-leader Thorbjorn Olesen is now sole 6/1 favourite and the only player in single figure odds. With 33 players within three shots of the lead, this looks wide open and we are in no hurry to take any shorter prices. Our 150/1 pre-event play Joe Dean also shares the lead and is into 18/1.

Eye Catching Prices

Guido Migliozzi 40/1 @ Skybet - The 2022 Open de France champion looks great value here after a solid three under par opening round. A winner earlier this year at KLM and also finished 22nd here in a strong field for the Olympics, Migliozzi should grow into this tournament. 

Open de France Round 2 Bets

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