Starts: 24th June 2021
Course: Golfclub Munchen Eichenried, Munich, Germany
Par: 72 (36-36)
Length: 7,283 yards
2020 Champion: N/A
Overall Profit/Loss: -11.4pts
Pre-Event Bets: -6.4pts
1pt Each Way Andy Sullivan 55/1 @ Bet365 (1/4 1-5)
0.75pts Each Way Calum Hill 80/1 @ Bet365 (1/4 1-5)
0.75pts Each Way Jamie Donaldson 90/1 @ Bet365 (1/4 1-5)
0.5pts Each Way Mattieu Pavon 125/1 @ Betfred (1/5 1-6)
0.25pts Each Way Haydn Porteous 300/1 @ Skybet (1/5 1-7)
2pts Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez Top 20 Finish 8/1 @ William Hill
In-Play Bets: -5pts
24 June 2021 (-3pts)
1pt EW Min Woo Lee 30/1 @ Betfred (1/5 1-5)
0.5pts EW J C Ritchie 50/1 @ Boylesports (1/4 1-5)
25 June 2021 (-2pts)
1pt EW Shaun Norris 40/1 @ Boylesports (1/4 1-4)
Designer: Kurt Rossknecht
Type of Course:
Used Since: 2002. Not played here 2020, 2018, 2016, 2014, 2012.
Water Hazards: In-play on 17 holes
Par 5's: 6th, 9th, 11th and 18th
Significant Info To Be Aware Of
Several of the players jet accross from the US Open last week, notably Louis Oosthuizen who finished runner up.
The event has been played here every second year in recent times - 2019, 2017, 2015 and 2013. The tournament was cancelled in 2020 due to Covid.
Continue to exercise caution in relation to Covid-19 related withdrawals.
Thunder storms look set to play a part Thursday and Friday which could cause disruption. Early Tee time on Thursday looks preferable with the showers arriving 3pm. Weekend is set to be dry and sunny. Approx 22-25 degrees celsius with limited winds.
Thundery showers and a gentle breeze. Wind 4-8mph
Thundery showers and a gentle breeze. Wind 7-9mph
Sunny Intervals and light winds. Wind 3-6mph
Sunny Intervals and light winds. Wind 3-6mph
Since 2010 has been between -15 and -18. We should expect a figure near the 20's to be winning.
Pavan was ranked 129th in the world before his win in 2019 but not in any special form. Romero in 2017 could barely make a cut and was ranked 837th. Larrazabal was 111th in average form in 2015 and 180th in strong form for his win in 2011. Els won in 2013 the week after finishing 4th at the US Open. There is no set profile for the winner here, but apart from Romero all recent winners have ranked inside the top 200 in the world.
Pavan only had a missed cut, Romero had two top 30's, Larrazabal was a previous winner and Els had a great record here before his win. Overall, course form is a big plus.
The last three winners have all arrived out of form. Before that, Els and Larrazabal were in form Recent form is preferred but not essential.
No UK player has won here since David Horsey in 2010.
We will assess the stats of the two playoff contenders in 2019, and Richard Bland who was 2nd in 2017. There are no available stats for 2017 winner Andres Romero.
49-84-80. You don't have to bomb it.
87-8-45. Driving Accuracy isn't percieved as essential but as always it helps.
SG: Off the tee
73-9-N/A. No stats are available for Bland in 2017. Pavan won here with relatively poor figures.
19-28-N/A. Strong iron play is important.
SG: Around the greens
27-43-N/A. Solid play around the greens to minimise mistakes is important.
23-42-N/A. As always it helps to putt well, but other stats are favoured.
In 2019, the 482 yard Par 4 3rd played the toughest, averaging 4.29. The 14th and 10th were 2nd and 3rd toughest.
Outwith the four par 5's, in 2019 the driveable par 4 5th played the easiest, averaging 3.74.
Fast or Slow Start
Pavan led after round one in 2019 but Fitzpatrick, who reached the play-off, was SEVEN back. Four of the top 5 were inisde the top 10 after day one in 2017. High importance to start fast this week.
The 16th is a short par 4, followed by the tough 205 yard par 3 17th. The 18th is an easy Par 5 which averaged 4.75 in 2019.
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BMW International Open In-Play Blog
26th June 2021, 8.35pm
Viktor Hovland fired a sublime 64 and now leads the BMW International Open by three shots. He's as short as 2/9 to convert from here and simply put, we don't see him losing.
Hovland has a 4⭐ Golf Betting Club Pressure Performance Rating and we think it's unlikely that he'll slip up. We could well see a strong final round from one of the chasers but we'd be backing them in hope rather than with any conviction. With that in mind, there are no further bets in the outright market and we'll sit the final round out.
We'll see warm and dry conditions for the final round.
Round 4 Bets
- No bet
25th June 2021, 5.35pm
Unfancied Irishman Niall Kearney finds himself with a two shot lead at the halfway stage but with plenty of high profile names within four shots, we're likely to see an enthralling Moving Day in Munich.
Kearney has never won a ranking event as a professional and was matched at 1000/1 at the start of the week on the Betfair Exchange. He's shown glimpses of form this season, the highlight being a 4th place finish at the Canary Islands Championship in May. Even though he has impressed so far, making only one bogey to date, it's hard to see him maintaining his current pace. That 4th place finish in Tenerife was the first top 10 he's had anywhere since September 2019 (The PDC Championship on the Euro Pro Tour) and it's likely he'll slip back tomorrow.
Viktor Hovland looked like he would catch Kearney when reaching 10 under par through 13 holes. Consecutive bogeys on the 14th and 15th put paid to that but he retains favouritism (5/2) at the bookmakers. Last week's eye problem appears behind him and he's worthy favourite given his quality.
One shot behind Hovland is Bernd Wiesberger and he's next up in the betting at 9/2. The Austrian was impressive when winning the Made in Himmerland four weeks ago and he's likely to be in the mix come Sunday.
With home favourite Martin Kaymer and last week's US Open runner up, Louis Oosthuizen, tucked in at seven under, we're sure to have an eventful final 36 holes. With the winner likely to come from one of the aforementioned players, we're focusing on the each way places.
The third round is due to be played in warm and dry conditions.
Round 3 Bets
- 1pt Each Way Shaun Norris 40/1 @ Boylesports (1/4 1-4)
Shaun went bogey free today and is tucked in nicely at eight under par. A win in Japan at the end of May, in a low scoring event, will serve him well over the weekend. Shaun can sometimes run hot but with some big names on the leaderboard, expectations may be lower and that may see him sneak under the radar. With four each way places up for grabs and a generous price of 40/1, Shaun is a value each way bet.
24th June 2021, 8.15pm
|Horsfield (thru 17)||-7|
|Kawamura (thru 17)||-7|
|Garcia Rodriguez (thru 12)||-7|
|Five Players Tied||-6|
We have a four way tie at the top as a thunderstorm prevented players from completing the first round at the BMW International. Wade Ormsby is the only one of the leaders in the clubhouse but he's likely to relinquish the lead given all three of his co-leaders have birdie chances when play resumes.
Sam Horsfield is the 4/1 favourite at the bookies and he's a player who is more than capable of winning this week. A two time winner on Tour last year and a player who enjoys low scoring conditions, we like Sam to remain near the top.
Viktor Hovland picked up four shots in his last five holes to sit 4 under par and second in the betting at a best price of 13/2. He could well find himself four or more shots behind and we're happy to leave him alone for the time being at the odds on offer.
Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez was our 8/1 Top 20 pick this week and we're happy to see him start well. He has an 8ft birdie putt on the 13th when play resumes and it would be good too see him pick up a couple more shots coming in. He does have a tendency to fall away after a good start and odds of 20/1 in the outright market reflect that.
Three of the last four winners have been inside the top 6 after the opening round. With this in mind we are focusing our attention towards the top of the leaderboard.
We may see further interruptions to play tomorrow with thunderstorms a possibility in the afternoon. There may be rain showers also.
Round 2 Bets
- 1pt Each Way Min Woo Lee 30/1 @ Betfred (1/5 1-5)
Min Woo won the ISPS Handa Victoria Open last year but has largely struggled since. Although things haven't quite gone his way in 2021, he's an enormous talent. He hits the ball a long way and sets up plenty of birdie opportunities. He took advantage of all four par 5s in round one and we see him doing that the rest of the week. He will likely sit out the worst of the weather tomorrow and should play in nicer consitions if finishing his round on Saturday.
- 0.5pts Each Way JC Ritchie 50/1 @ Boylesports (1/4 1-5)
JC managed to complete his round just before play was suspended and he'll come back tomorrow looking to make up ground on the leaders. Having won the Sunshine Tour Order of Merit in 2020, he's a player looking to take the next step in his career. We like the fact he won a co-sanctioned Challenge Tour/Sunshine Tour event at the start of May and he came into this week full of confidence after a top 10 finish last week on the Challenge Tour.