Starts: 5th May 2022
Course: The Belfry (Brabazon)
Par: 72 (36-36)
Length: 7,310 yards
2021 Champion: Richard Bland
Designer: Dave Thomas
Type of Course: Parkland
Used Since: 2020 (Different event)
Par 5's: 3rd, 15th & 17th
Premium on: Approach play
Significant Info To Be Aware Of
This course was not used for this tournament in 2020 but it was the venue for the 2020 ISPS Handa UK Championship.
The Brabazon course has twelve par 4s.
Continue to exercise caution in relation to Covid-19 related withdrawals.
Light cloud with a max wind of 8mph.
Light cloud with a max wind of 9mph.
Sunny intervals with a max wind of 7mph.
Sunny intervals with a max wind of 7mph.
When the British Masters was held at The Belfry between 2006-2008 the winning scores were -11, -15 and -12. Rasmus Hojgaard won the ISPS Handa UK Championship in 2020 with a score of -14 and Richard Bland won this event last year on -14. We can expect a winnng score of -11 to -15.
The world rankings of the three British Masters winners (2006-2008) were 194-48-157. Hojgaard was 94th when he lifted the trophy at the ISPS Handa UK Championship and Bland was 218th before his win last year.
There's a clear course correlation with Loch Lomond Golf Club, host of the Scottish Open until 2010. Johan Edfors and Lee Westwood won here in 2006 and 2007 and both are course winners at Loch Lomond. Even the 2008 winner, Gonzalo Fernandez Castano, recorded a 2nd place at Loch Lomond.
For a more recent correlation, the Portugal Masters offers a number of similarities. Westwood is a winner at the Dom Pedro Victoria golf course, Fernandez-Castano has a runner up finish there and Edfors has a solid enough record there too. It's also notable the 2020 runner up, Justin Walters, has an excellent record at the Portugal Masters.
Richard Bland was 8th at the Portugal Masters last season, further confirmation we should keep Portugal Masters results in mind.
Most players did not play the British Masters between 2006-2008 but 2021 winner, Richard Bland, was 19th at this venue in 2020. None of the 2021 top 5 featured on the leaderboard in 2020.
Bland had finished 27th in his previous start and Hojgaard had finished 3rd the week before he triumphed. Of the players who won between 2006-2008, Westwood finished 6th the week before, Fernandez Castano 25th and Edfors 45th. Recent form does appear to be important.
Bland ranked 3rd last year whilst runner up Migliozzi was 10th. Hojgaard ranked 7th in 2020. Indeed, three of the first four last year ranked inside the top seven for SG: Approach. The winners of the last three British Masters (2006-2008) were all accurate iron players too. We should favour players with good Strokes Gained: Approach stats.
SG: Off The Tee
Bland ranked 31st, notably 1st for Driving Accuracy, whilst Migliozzi was 32nd. In 2020, none of the top four ranked inside the top 10 for SG: Off The Tee. They ranked 12-24-45-38 in this category.
SG: Around The Green
It was a similar story around the greens as no player in the top four ranked inside the top 40 in 2020. Bland ranked 61st in 2021 but did rank 1st for Scrambling. Migliozzi was 33rd and 3rd for scrambling.
Bland ranked 87th, losing strokes on the greens! Migliozzi was 56th. The top four last in 2020 ranked 2-23-6-11 so a good putting week certainly helps.
Third round leaders have a terrible record in recent times with every 3rd round leader beaten between 2006-2008 and then again in 2020 and last year. Edfors won from 4 back, Westwood won from 2 back and Fernandez-Castano came from 3 back between 2006-2008. In 2020, Rasmus Hojgaard came from five back and Bland came from 3 back last year. Opposing the 3rd round leader is a solid strategy.
The last five course champions opened with under par first rounds. Bland and Migliozzi shared 3rd place after round one last year before dropping back slightly.
Players We Almost Backed
NOTE - These are players who we shortlisted for this event but ultimately didn't advise to subscribers. If you want to find out who we did tip, you can subscribe using the link below.
Sam Horsfield 28/1
Looked to be playing well last time out at the Zurich Classic and a top 25 finish here last year. Others marginally preferred.
Nicolai Hojgaard 33/1
You could potentially make a case for either Hojgaard this week but Nicolai played solidly last week without ever threatening. His performance here in 2020 was a worry though.
Tom Lewis 125/1
We highlighted in the preview that the Portugal Masters may be a correlating event. Lewis has won that event twice and was 10th only two starts ago. We were happy to see how he starts this week.
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