PGA Tour Tips & Preview
Farmers Insurance Open 2021 Preview
Starts: 28th January 2021
Course: Torrey Pines (South and North)
Par: Both 72
Length: 7,765 yards and 7,258 yards
2020 Champion: Marc Leishman
Course: Torrey Pines (South and North)
Par: Both 72
Length: 7,765 yards and 7,258 yards
2020 Champion: Marc Leishman
Course Info
Course Designer: South - William P Bell 1957, Rees Jones re-design 2001 and 2019. North - Tom Weiskopf re-design 2016
Tournament played here since: 1952
Type of Course: South - Coastal, Long, Demanding. North - Coastal, Short
Fairways: Narrow, Bermuda Grass
Rough: Kikuyugrass with Ryegrass, Thick.
Greens: South - Poa Annua 11.5 on stimpmeter North - Bentgrass 10.5 on stimpmeter
Water Hazards: 18th only
Par 5's: 6th, 9th, 13th, 18th (South Course)
Premium on: Tee to green and POA Annua Grass putters
Significant Info To Be Aware Of
The players each play the North and the South Course during the first two rounds. Please be aware, if betting in play, the South Course plays significantly tougher. The South Course is used for the final 36 holes.
The South Course was renovated in 2019 by Rees Jones prior to the US Open in June. It increased in length and was generally made tougher.
Continue to exercise caution in relation to Covid-19 related withdrawals.
Weather Forecast
Mostly cloudy/partly sunny with potential rain showers on Friday.
Thursday: max 12mph winds forecast
Friday: max 14mph winds forecast
Saturday: max 8mph winds forecast
Sunday: max 9mph winds forecast
Trends
Winning Score: The winning score has ranged from -9 to -21 over the years, although it has to be said, Justin Rose's -21 in 2019 was exceptional golf. We can expect a winning score similar to Marc Leishman's -15 last year.
Price of Winner: We've not had a winner starting at over 55/1 since 2013 when Scott Stallings won at 250/1. Given the demanding nature of Torrey Pines, class usually prevails.
Correlating Courses: Pebble Beach, Glen Abbey, Riviera (All POA Annua greens), Muirfield Village
Course Form: Jon Rahm won on his debut in 2017, but more often than not the winner has a strong record already. Leishman, Rose, Day (twice), Snedeker (twice) and Watson all had several top 10's before their win. Side with strong course experience.
Recent Form: You don't need to be in blistering form to win here. Three of the last four winners - Marc Leishman, Justin Rose and Jon Rahm - all arrived in mediocre form (albeit making cuts). Don't be too put off if your fancy isn't nailing top 10's already.
Nationality: Used to be heavily dominated by Americans, but Brandt Snedeker the only one to win in the last 6 editions. Three of the last six have been Australian - funnily enough this tournament falls on Australia Day!
Stats Analysis
We are looking for a player with high SG: Approach and SG: Off The Tee figures. Players who can putt on POA Annua greens also a massive bonus.
Driving Distance: Marc Leishman only ranked 34th for distance, but Jason Day ranked 1st and 2nd for his two wins and Rose ranked 11th in 2019. Distance definitely an advantage around the South Course.
SG: Off The Tee - Leishman only ranked 48th but the previous 3 winners were ranked top 15 here. Strong drivers preferred.
SG: Approach - Jason Day was 50th but 3 of the last 4 winners have ranked top 5 in this category.
SG: Around The Green - The past five winners have ranked 56th, 16th, 23rd, 38th, 19th. A tidy short game is helpful but not the main stat we're looking at here.
SG: Putting - Leishman was 1st for putting last year, but the previous four winners all ranked outside the top 25. A lot of players struggle with the POA Annua greens.
In-play
Tough Holes: On the South Course, 4th, 12th and 15th all play over 480 yards and will pose a challenge. Both par 3's on the back 9 - 11th and 16th - play 225+ yards.
Birdie Holes: The four par 5's (6th, 9th, 13th and 18th) are all very scoreable but do note the 9th and 13th are over 600 yards. The 2nd is a short par 4 which players will be expecting to birdie.
Closing Stretch: The 16th is a long par 3, 17th is a scoreable par 4, and the par 5 18th to finish can provide drama with water short and left of the green.
Fast or Slow Start: We have seen some massive comebacks in recent years here. Leishman 6 back after 36 holes and 4 back after 54. Day was 8 back after 18, and 4 back after 36. Rahm was 7 back after 18 and 5 back after 36. Althought Justin Rose led from round 2 onwards in 2019, all in all this is catch up event.
Course Notes 2021
High Quality Leaderboard - Once again, leaderboard was packed with big names. Only one player (Henrik Norlander) in the top 9 was outside the top 60 in the world rankings. Only two of them (Norlander and Griffin), started at over 66/1 pre tournament.
Wind - In 2021, the only day with enough wind to affect scoring was 2nd round. Very still over the weekend.
The Cream will rise - The tough nature of the course will eventually lead to the top players catching up. Xander and Finau started round four outside the top 10 and finished joint 2nd.
Player Notes 2021
RORY McIlROY: As the poa gets soft here, obviously it gets a little bumpy and you start to just make some really tentative strokes and I sort of started to do that over the weekend here.
RORY McILROY: I think maybe I'm riding my luck a little bit at the minute, but the lies I've gotten in the rough haven't been too bad. There's been a couple that have been tough and you're having to just try to play to the front of the greens or whatever. (3rd Round)
*As ever, follow our daily in-play updates and tips on our Farmers Insurance Open in-play page*
Course Designer: South - William P Bell 1957, Rees Jones re-design 2001 and 2019. North - Tom Weiskopf re-design 2016
Tournament played here since: 1952
Type of Course: South - Coastal, Long, Demanding. North - Coastal, Short
Fairways: Narrow, Bermuda Grass
Rough: Kikuyugrass with Ryegrass, Thick.
Greens: South - Poa Annua 11.5 on stimpmeter North - Bentgrass 10.5 on stimpmeter
Water Hazards: 18th only
Par 5's: 6th, 9th, 13th, 18th (South Course)
Premium on: Tee to green and POA Annua Grass putters
Significant Info To Be Aware Of
The players each play the North and the South Course during the first two rounds. Please be aware, if betting in play, the South Course plays significantly tougher. The South Course is used for the final 36 holes.
The South Course was renovated in 2019 by Rees Jones prior to the US Open in June. It increased in length and was generally made tougher.
Continue to exercise caution in relation to Covid-19 related withdrawals.
Weather Forecast
Mostly cloudy/partly sunny with potential rain showers on Friday.
Thursday: max 12mph winds forecast
Friday: max 14mph winds forecast
Saturday: max 8mph winds forecast
Sunday: max 9mph winds forecast
Trends
Winning Score: The winning score has ranged from -9 to -21 over the years, although it has to be said, Justin Rose's -21 in 2019 was exceptional golf. We can expect a winning score similar to Marc Leishman's -15 last year.
Price of Winner: We've not had a winner starting at over 55/1 since 2013 when Scott Stallings won at 250/1. Given the demanding nature of Torrey Pines, class usually prevails.
Correlating Courses: Pebble Beach, Glen Abbey, Riviera (All POA Annua greens), Muirfield Village
Course Form: Jon Rahm won on his debut in 2017, but more often than not the winner has a strong record already. Leishman, Rose, Day (twice), Snedeker (twice) and Watson all had several top 10's before their win. Side with strong course experience.
Recent Form: You don't need to be in blistering form to win here. Three of the last four winners - Marc Leishman, Justin Rose and Jon Rahm - all arrived in mediocre form (albeit making cuts). Don't be too put off if your fancy isn't nailing top 10's already.
Nationality: Used to be heavily dominated by Americans, but Brandt Snedeker the only one to win in the last 6 editions. Three of the last six have been Australian - funnily enough this tournament falls on Australia Day!
Stats Analysis
We are looking for a player with high SG: Approach and SG: Off The Tee figures. Players who can putt on POA Annua greens also a massive bonus.
Driving Distance: Marc Leishman only ranked 34th for distance, but Jason Day ranked 1st and 2nd for his two wins and Rose ranked 11th in 2019. Distance definitely an advantage around the South Course.
SG: Off The Tee - Leishman only ranked 48th but the previous 3 winners were ranked top 15 here. Strong drivers preferred.
SG: Approach - Jason Day was 50th but 3 of the last 4 winners have ranked top 5 in this category.
SG: Around The Green - The past five winners have ranked 56th, 16th, 23rd, 38th, 19th. A tidy short game is helpful but not the main stat we're looking at here.
SG: Putting - Leishman was 1st for putting last year, but the previous four winners all ranked outside the top 25. A lot of players struggle with the POA Annua greens.
In-play
Tough Holes: On the South Course, 4th, 12th and 15th all play over 480 yards and will pose a challenge. Both par 3's on the back 9 - 11th and 16th - play 225+ yards.
Birdie Holes: The four par 5's (6th, 9th, 13th and 18th) are all very scoreable but do note the 9th and 13th are over 600 yards. The 2nd is a short par 4 which players will be expecting to birdie.
Closing Stretch: The 16th is a long par 3, 17th is a scoreable par 4, and the par 5 18th to finish can provide drama with water short and left of the green.
Fast or Slow Start: We have seen some massive comebacks in recent years here. Leishman 6 back after 36 holes and 4 back after 54. Day was 8 back after 18, and 4 back after 36. Rahm was 7 back after 18 and 5 back after 36. Althought Justin Rose led from round 2 onwards in 2019, all in all this is catch up event.
Course Notes 2021
High Quality Leaderboard - Once again, leaderboard was packed with big names. Only one player (Henrik Norlander) in the top 9 was outside the top 60 in the world rankings. Only two of them (Norlander and Griffin), started at over 66/1 pre tournament.
Wind - In 2021, the only day with enough wind to affect scoring was 2nd round. Very still over the weekend.
The Cream will rise - The tough nature of the course will eventually lead to the top players catching up. Xander and Finau started round four outside the top 10 and finished joint 2nd.
Player Notes 2021
RORY McIlROY: As the poa gets soft here, obviously it gets a little bumpy and you start to just make some really tentative strokes and I sort of started to do that over the weekend here.
RORY McILROY: I think maybe I'm riding my luck a little bit at the minute, but the lies I've gotten in the rough haven't been too bad. There's been a couple that have been tough and you're having to just try to play to the front of the greens or whatever. (3rd Round)
*As ever, follow our daily in-play updates and tips on our Farmers Insurance Open in-play page*
Farmers Insurance Open Pre-Event Bets
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We will be in full charge of the Telegram group and Premier Sports Plays will handle the payments and administrative functions, allowing us to focus on the golf.
You can sign up by clicking the button below.
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