PGA Tour In-Play Tips
Rocket Mortgage Classic In-Play Tips
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5th July 2020
-19 Wolff
-16 DeChambeau
-16 Armour
-14 Merritt
-14 Hubbard
-14 Power
-14 Kirk
Yesterday morning the odds-setters had this as a two horse race with Webb Simpson and Bryson DeChambeau both around 3/1 to win and next best 16/1. Today, the odds suggest it's still a two horse race but this time between Matthew Wolff and Bryson DeChambeau.
Despite being 2 under par through 4 holes yesterday, Webb missed too many fairways and had another poor day on the greens as he posted a 1 under 71 to slip out of contention.
Matt was one of our Six To Watch at 125/1 at the start of the week, so those who took our tip find themselves in a good position as we enter the final round. Both Matt and Bryson have 4 star ratings in our Golf Betting Club Pressure Performance Ratings so we shouldn't expect either to back down.
They also have history of competing down the stretch, with Matt prevailing almost a year ago at the 3M Open when he eagled the last hole to pip Bryson by a shot. Hopefully he wins again today!
It's a course where low scores are possible, but it is now hard to see past the top 3 in the betting. As the odds suggest, Wolff and DeChambeau are a cut above Ryan Armour but he too is competent in contention and cannot be written off.
With the greens firming up and Bryson's poor Strokes Gained: Approach stats we think that Matt will prevail from here but it is likely to be closer than the 3 shot gap he currently enjoys.
We had two comfortable winners and one loss yesterday from our three match bets, making it 3 wins out of 4 for the week so far.
We also have our 7/1 pick from yesterday, Scott Harrington, nicely primed for a Top 20 finish as he enters the final round in tied 13th position.
Weather-wise today we have much the same as the last few of days with the wind down slightly from yesterday.
-19 Wolff
-16 DeChambeau
-16 Armour
-14 Merritt
-14 Hubbard
-14 Power
-14 Kirk
Yesterday morning the odds-setters had this as a two horse race with Webb Simpson and Bryson DeChambeau both around 3/1 to win and next best 16/1. Today, the odds suggest it's still a two horse race but this time between Matthew Wolff and Bryson DeChambeau.
Despite being 2 under par through 4 holes yesterday, Webb missed too many fairways and had another poor day on the greens as he posted a 1 under 71 to slip out of contention.
Matt was one of our Six To Watch at 125/1 at the start of the week, so those who took our tip find themselves in a good position as we enter the final round. Both Matt and Bryson have 4 star ratings in our Golf Betting Club Pressure Performance Ratings so we shouldn't expect either to back down.
They also have history of competing down the stretch, with Matt prevailing almost a year ago at the 3M Open when he eagled the last hole to pip Bryson by a shot. Hopefully he wins again today!
It's a course where low scores are possible, but it is now hard to see past the top 3 in the betting. As the odds suggest, Wolff and DeChambeau are a cut above Ryan Armour but he too is competent in contention and cannot be written off.
With the greens firming up and Bryson's poor Strokes Gained: Approach stats we think that Matt will prevail from here but it is likely to be closer than the 3 shot gap he currently enjoys.
We had two comfortable winners and one loss yesterday from our three match bets, making it 3 wins out of 4 for the week so far.
We also have our 7/1 pick from yesterday, Scott Harrington, nicely primed for a Top 20 finish as he enters the final round in tied 13th position.
Weather-wise today we have much the same as the last few of days with the wind down slightly from yesterday.
Sunday's Bets
Adam has struck it brilliantly from tee to green. He's only missed 10 fairways (6 of those came in the first round) and 6 greens all week. Unexpectedly, he leads the field in greens in regulation and is 14th for driving accuracy. He was bogey free in Round 1 and has had only three bogeys in total. At 14/1, with conditions much the same as previous days, it's a sound bet.
This bet has won each of the last three days as Troy has yet to record a bogey in this tournament! It may well be that today is 18 holes too far for him, but at 14/1 we must take a chance.
Given the low odds on the two favourites, Boylesports are running a market without Wolff and DeChambeau. If you are looking for a riskier punt tonight you could do a lot worse than Fabian Gomez at 80/1.
It's likely that Ryan Armour will win, but given he's 3/1 we've opted for Gomez as there are each way places available. He is currently 13th (or 11th if you take out Wolff and DeChambeau) on 12 under par, but he's been trending in the right direction this week given he's fired rounds of 70-68-66.
As you might expect from these improved scores, his stats have been trending nicely too. If he can keep this going he's a good bet at 80/1 in this market.
It's likely that Ryan Armour will win, but given he's 3/1 we've opted for Gomez as there are each way places available. He is currently 13th (or 11th if you take out Wolff and DeChambeau) on 12 under par, but he's been trending in the right direction this week given he's fired rounds of 70-68-66.
As you might expect from these improved scores, his stats have been trending nicely too. If he can keep this going he's a good bet at 80/1 in this market.
4th July 2020
-12 Kirk
-12 Simpson
-11 Power
-11 Wolff
-11 DeChambeau
-11 Armour
-11 Werenski
-11 Hubbard
It's a two horse race according to the odds-setters with Webb Simpson and Bryson DeChambeau both around 3/1 to win and next best 16/1. That said, there are 19 players within three shots of the lead and 29 within four, so a couple of low rounds over the weekend could see any of those players win.
Yesterday was almost a day to remember for us as our 175/1 second round leader pick, Seamus Power, posted -11 and just missed out by a solitary shot. However, he did finish the day third so we collected the place money for him. We also had a comfortable winner in our only 18 hole match up bet as Harold Varner III beat Alex Noren by six shots.
Weather-wise today we have much the same as the last couple of days with the wind slightly up but we should still expect to see low scores.
-12 Kirk
-12 Simpson
-11 Power
-11 Wolff
-11 DeChambeau
-11 Armour
-11 Werenski
-11 Hubbard
It's a two horse race according to the odds-setters with Webb Simpson and Bryson DeChambeau both around 3/1 to win and next best 16/1. That said, there are 19 players within three shots of the lead and 29 within four, so a couple of low rounds over the weekend could see any of those players win.
Yesterday was almost a day to remember for us as our 175/1 second round leader pick, Seamus Power, posted -11 and just missed out by a solitary shot. However, he did finish the day third so we collected the place money for him. We also had a comfortable winner in our only 18 hole match up bet as Harold Varner III beat Alex Noren by six shots.
Weather-wise today we have much the same as the last couple of days with the wind slightly up but we should still expect to see low scores.
Saturday's Bets
With such a congested leaderboard it's worth putting up a few players for 3rd round leader who are all playing nicely but just haven't quite got the putter working. Swafford (2nd SG: Tee to Green), Spaun (9th SG: Tee To Green) and Tringale (16th SG: Tee To Green) all have the potential to shoot low today. At big each way prices they are worth a small bet after yesterday's success with Seamus Power.
This is Stuard's home event and he finished 5th here last year. He's playing solidly and in a market without the two favourites 33/1 represents each way value. He shot 65 and 68 on the weekend last year. A similar performance this time would see him go close.
Harrington is 7 under par, one shot outside 20th. He's driving the ball really nicely (9th Strokes Gained: Off The Tee) and his iron play is solid (2nd Greens in Regulation) too. He's had mixed fortunes on the greens, putting terribly on day one but really well yesterday. If he can continue in that vein the 7/1 looks far too big.
Hubbard is playing some really good golf, describing the game as "easy" in yesterday's press conference. His stats back this up, showing that he's 4th Strokes Gained: Tee to Green. Werenski has had a couple of great days on the greens and whilst his long game stats (31st in SG: Tee to Green) aren't terrible, he does rank lower than Mark. Taking into account their respective Round 3 Scoring Averages (Hubbard is 8th and Werenski is 181st) this is a bet worth taking on.
To demonstrate just how good Simpson's ball striking was yesterday, he shot -8 with negative Strokes Gained:Putting. He ranks 1st in SG: Tee to Green compared to his opponent's ranking of 35th. Webb ranks 2nd in Round 3 Scoring Average whilst Bryson ranks 107th. Bryson's round 3 scoring problems have been well documented by us (he's only broken 70 three times in ten 3rd round appearances this season) so he is very much one to take on.
Kisner and Straka are similarly matched in terms of long game stats this week but Kevin is the better player and can be backed to prevail. Sepp holed a plethora of long range putts yesterday and that surely won't be repeated today. At just under evens Kevin is a solid play.
3rd July 2020
-7 Redman
-7 Stallings
-7 Kisner
-6 DeChambeau
-6 Malnati
-6 Grillo
-6 Seiffert
-6 Spaun
-6 Wallace
-6 Stroud
Unsurprisingly, Bryson DeChambeau stole the headlines again yesterday, firing an opening 66 to finish in 4th place after 18 holes. Astonishingly, he averaged 358.5 yards for driving distance - with one drive CARRYING 343 yards.
He is now one off the lead and the clear 3/1 favourite. If his wedge game can improve he has the ability to run away from the field, the same way Nate Lashley did here last year. It must be noted though that he putted extremely well yesterday, finishing +3.964 for Strokes Gained Putting so he would be doing well to replicate that.
Early starters Doc Redman and Scott Stallings lead the way, along with Kevin Kisner who joined them with 4 birdies in his last 6 holes. Out of the 3, it looks like Stallings represents the best value at 22/1. However, given there are 45 players within 3 shots, it is best to hold tight to see what today brings.
Instead, we concentrate on the 2nd Round Leader market where William Hill are offering some extremely juicy prices with 5 places on offer each way (other bookmakers only offering 4 places). If you don't yet have a William Hill account, our links provided will give you a free £30 bet when you join.
-7 Redman
-7 Stallings
-7 Kisner
-6 DeChambeau
-6 Malnati
-6 Grillo
-6 Seiffert
-6 Spaun
-6 Wallace
-6 Stroud
Unsurprisingly, Bryson DeChambeau stole the headlines again yesterday, firing an opening 66 to finish in 4th place after 18 holes. Astonishingly, he averaged 358.5 yards for driving distance - with one drive CARRYING 343 yards.
He is now one off the lead and the clear 3/1 favourite. If his wedge game can improve he has the ability to run away from the field, the same way Nate Lashley did here last year. It must be noted though that he putted extremely well yesterday, finishing +3.964 for Strokes Gained Putting so he would be doing well to replicate that.
Early starters Doc Redman and Scott Stallings lead the way, along with Kevin Kisner who joined them with 4 birdies in his last 6 holes. Out of the 3, it looks like Stallings represents the best value at 22/1. However, given there are 45 players within 3 shots, it is best to hold tight to see what today brings.
Instead, we concentrate on the 2nd Round Leader market where William Hill are offering some extremely juicy prices with 5 places on offer each way (other bookmakers only offering 4 places). If you don't yet have a William Hill account, our links provided will give you a free £30 bet when you join.
Friday's Bets
First of our selections is Henrik Norlander who sits two shots off the lead. The Swedish youngster impressed yesterday, finishing 6th SG: Approach the green and 13th SG: Off the tee. He is finding fairways which inevitable offers birdie chances here, if the putter heats up he could go low.
Also at 66/1 and two shots off the lead, big hitting Hudson Swafford shot -5 yesterday which was a fair effort considering his putter wasn't hot, finishing -0.446 SG: Putting. He ranked 3rd SG: Tee to green and is simply too big at 66/1 to lead after 36 holes.
Finally another big hitter, Irishman Seamus Power, is worth a small nibble at monster odds of 175/1. He is an unpredictable sort but hit 12/14 fairways yesterday and if he continues to drive long and straight he will also have plenty of chances. It is not impossible he sneaks a place in the top 5 after 36 holes.
We have one 18 hole match bet to add. We think Harold Varner represents good value to go lower than Alex Noren today. Varner beat Noren by 2 shots yesterday, but was almost last in the field for SG: Putting. He was 8th for SG: Tee to green, so even the slightest of improvements on the greens should see him beating Noren comfortably. Noren only hit 50% of fairways yesterday so Varner's long game is definitely in better shape.
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