PGA Tour Tips & Preview
RBC Heritage Preview
Starts - 18th June 2020
Course - Harbour Town Golf Links, S Carolina
Par - 71 (36-35)
Length – 7,099 yards
Grass type – Bermuda
Course - Harbour Town Golf Links, S Carolina
Par - 71 (36-35)
Length – 7,099 yards
Grass type – Bermuda
Course Info
Harbour Town is one of the shortest courses on the PGA Tour, but with greens amongst the smallest it poses a harder than average test. Only once in the last seven years has the winning score been better than -13, and on a number of occasions it didn't reach double figures.
Located in Hilton Head, Harbour Town Golf Links is tree lined but, as the name suggests, is beside the ocean. It is exposed in places and wind does play a part around here (watch out for the closing hole in particular).
The course is designed by Pete Dye with input from Jack Nicklaus. The tournament has been played here for over 50 years so we have ample course form to analyse.
It is a par 71 and the front 9 plays significantly easier with two very scoreable par 5s (the 2nd and 5th). The sole par 5 on the back 9 (the 15th) is significantly harder (the top 5 here in 2019 only managed to play it cumulatively in 1 under par in the final round).
Each of the par 3s tend to average over par, so be aware in-play.
Significant Info To Be Aware Of
This is only the second tournament to be played since the PGA Tour was suspended in March. It is also normally played in April, immediately after The Masters, so in June the greens will be firmer and harder to hit than normal.
Continue to exercise caution at the outset, especially in relation to those who did not play last week and keep a watching brief in play.
Trends
Harbour Town isn't a course which favours debutants. Only two in the last 12 years have won on their first appearances - Sotashi Kodaira in 2018 and Wesley Bryan in 2017. However, as we saw last week at Colonial, there are more course debutants teeing it up after golf's hiatus. so we should place less emphasis on this particular trend.
Of the ten players who had competed here prior to winning in the past 12 years, only one did so without having previously recorded a top-25 finish. That was Graeme McDowell, who obviously has significant pedigree on narrow, wind exposed courses.
We should treat Graeme as the exception to the rule as previous experience here counts for a lot. To emphasise that point, Luke Donald recorded an incredible SEVEN top-3 finishes in NINE years between 2009 and 2017, while Davis Love III is a FIVE time winner here.
Between 2000 and 2011 American golfers dominated, winning nine of the twelve tournaments. However, since 2012 only three Americans have prevailed.
From 2010 there have been five play-offs and three one-stroke victories, so barring a few outliers it is generally a tight race. In the last 20 years the margin of victory hsa been greater than two shots on only three occasions.
There are trends with another Pete Dye designed course, TPC Sawgrass. Home of The Players Championship, Sawgrass also demands accuracy off the tee and challenges players visually, as Dye likes to do.
Certain players have excellent records at both venues. A few notables include:
Stats Analysis
Traditionally, driving distance isn’t an important stat here. Only one winner in the past six years has ranked better than 50th for Driving Distance. It is not a course where bombers can cut corners and bypass the trees.
Accurate iron play is important and it's no surprise that we've seen Luke Donald and Jim Furyk excel here. However, last year's winner C.T. Pan showed that it's possible to compensate for inaccurate iron play (he ranked 37th Greens in Regulation) with a hot putter. He was fifth for Strokes Gained: Putting and finished second in putting average for the week. Despite Pan's success, we are looking for players with high Strokes Gained: Approach statistics.
Given the small size of the greens, even the very best players are going to miss them this week. It is therefore essential that any pick has excellent scrambling stats. C.T. Pan was 16th last year, Kodaira was 13th in 2018, and in the two prior years the winner hadn't been worse than third in scrambling.
In-play
Remember the back 9 plays harder than the front 9. So don't get overly excited with a fast start from a player on the front side.
It is possible to get off to a slow start here and still win. Last year C.T. Pan opened with a level par 71 and found himself 6 shots behind first round leader Shane Lowry.
In 2018, Satoshi Kodaira was a full 9 strokes behind the first round lead after he opened with a 2 over par 73. In fact, in the last ten runnings of the Heritage the winner has started with a score in the 70s five times.
Round 3 leaders have a very poor record here in recent years and there have been some stunning wins from players off the pace. The last seven winners have come from at least 2 shots back, and in six of those years the winner came from three shots back.
Even more impressively, in 2018 and 2011 Kodaira and Brand Snedeker came from six shots back, while in 2004 Stewart Cink overturned a NINE shot deficit.
*As ever, follow our daily in-play updates on our RBC Heritage in-play blog *
Harbour Town is one of the shortest courses on the PGA Tour, but with greens amongst the smallest it poses a harder than average test. Only once in the last seven years has the winning score been better than -13, and on a number of occasions it didn't reach double figures.
Located in Hilton Head, Harbour Town Golf Links is tree lined but, as the name suggests, is beside the ocean. It is exposed in places and wind does play a part around here (watch out for the closing hole in particular).
The course is designed by Pete Dye with input from Jack Nicklaus. The tournament has been played here for over 50 years so we have ample course form to analyse.
It is a par 71 and the front 9 plays significantly easier with two very scoreable par 5s (the 2nd and 5th). The sole par 5 on the back 9 (the 15th) is significantly harder (the top 5 here in 2019 only managed to play it cumulatively in 1 under par in the final round).
Each of the par 3s tend to average over par, so be aware in-play.
Significant Info To Be Aware Of
This is only the second tournament to be played since the PGA Tour was suspended in March. It is also normally played in April, immediately after The Masters, so in June the greens will be firmer and harder to hit than normal.
Continue to exercise caution at the outset, especially in relation to those who did not play last week and keep a watching brief in play.
Trends
Harbour Town isn't a course which favours debutants. Only two in the last 12 years have won on their first appearances - Sotashi Kodaira in 2018 and Wesley Bryan in 2017. However, as we saw last week at Colonial, there are more course debutants teeing it up after golf's hiatus. so we should place less emphasis on this particular trend.
Of the ten players who had competed here prior to winning in the past 12 years, only one did so without having previously recorded a top-25 finish. That was Graeme McDowell, who obviously has significant pedigree on narrow, wind exposed courses.
We should treat Graeme as the exception to the rule as previous experience here counts for a lot. To emphasise that point, Luke Donald recorded an incredible SEVEN top-3 finishes in NINE years between 2009 and 2017, while Davis Love III is a FIVE time winner here.
Between 2000 and 2011 American golfers dominated, winning nine of the twelve tournaments. However, since 2012 only three Americans have prevailed.
From 2010 there have been five play-offs and three one-stroke victories, so barring a few outliers it is generally a tight race. In the last 20 years the margin of victory hsa been greater than two shots on only three occasions.
There are trends with another Pete Dye designed course, TPC Sawgrass. Home of The Players Championship, Sawgrass also demands accuracy off the tee and challenges players visually, as Dye likes to do.
Certain players have excellent records at both venues. A few notables include:
- Davis Love III is a multiple winner of both tournaments
- Jim Furyk has won the Heritage twice and been runner up twice at Sawgrass
- Matt Kuchar has won at both venues
- Si Woo Kim has won The Players Championship and has a runner up finish at Hilton Head.
Stats Analysis
Traditionally, driving distance isn’t an important stat here. Only one winner in the past six years has ranked better than 50th for Driving Distance. It is not a course where bombers can cut corners and bypass the trees.
Accurate iron play is important and it's no surprise that we've seen Luke Donald and Jim Furyk excel here. However, last year's winner C.T. Pan showed that it's possible to compensate for inaccurate iron play (he ranked 37th Greens in Regulation) with a hot putter. He was fifth for Strokes Gained: Putting and finished second in putting average for the week. Despite Pan's success, we are looking for players with high Strokes Gained: Approach statistics.
Given the small size of the greens, even the very best players are going to miss them this week. It is therefore essential that any pick has excellent scrambling stats. C.T. Pan was 16th last year, Kodaira was 13th in 2018, and in the two prior years the winner hadn't been worse than third in scrambling.
In-play
Remember the back 9 plays harder than the front 9. So don't get overly excited with a fast start from a player on the front side.
It is possible to get off to a slow start here and still win. Last year C.T. Pan opened with a level par 71 and found himself 6 shots behind first round leader Shane Lowry.
In 2018, Satoshi Kodaira was a full 9 strokes behind the first round lead after he opened with a 2 over par 73. In fact, in the last ten runnings of the Heritage the winner has started with a score in the 70s five times.
Round 3 leaders have a very poor record here in recent years and there have been some stunning wins from players off the pace. The last seven winners have come from at least 2 shots back, and in six of those years the winner came from three shots back.
Even more impressively, in 2018 and 2011 Kodaira and Brand Snedeker came from six shots back, while in 2004 Stewart Cink overturned a NINE shot deficit.
*As ever, follow our daily in-play updates on our RBC Heritage in-play blog *
RBC Heritage - Six To Watch
As outlined in our Tipping Record, our tipping strategy is to focus on speciality bets and value in-play. However, we have identified the following six players if you do wish to place a bet before the event begins:
Collin Morikawa - 25/1 @ William Hill
Collin hasn't played the Heritage before but his game is ideally suited to the premium on accurate iron play here. He was very unlucky not to win last week and should contend again. His maiden win at Barracuda last year followed a 4th and 2nd place, so he's showed he can stay hot for consecutive weeks.
5th in SG: Tee to green and 2nd SG: Approach the green indicate he is one of the best ball strikers on tour if not the best.
Matt Kuchar - 45/1 @ William Hill
Matt won here in 2014 and in the last five years he's only finished outside the top 11 on one occasion (23rd). He did miss the cut last week, but only only after double bogeying his last hole in the second round so we shouldn't be too worried.
He won the Singapore Open in January after missing the cut at the Sony Open.
Tyrrell Hatton - 50/1 @ BetVictor
Tyrrell didn't play last week but this is factored into his price and he could potentially be superb value at 50/1. He won the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and finished 6th in the WGC-Mexico Championship on his only two starts this year.
The Mexico finish came after 12 weeks off with a wrist injury so he has proved he can return sharp. Also won the Turkish Airlines Open in his penultimate start of 2019, which makes it two wins in his last four starts.
1st for SG: Approach the green this year, a superb iron player and proven in the wind.
Jason Kokrak - 70/1 @ BetVictor
Jason finished 65-64 over the weekend at Colonial and hit 17 of 18 greens in his final round. He ticks the course form box, having recorded four top 20's in his last six appearances, including a 6th place finish in 2016.
Stats wise he was 6th last week for both Greens In Regulation and Scrambling, two key attributes this week. Jason backed up his best finish of 2019 (2nd place at the Valspar Championship) with a 7th place at the Texas Open so we know he can follow up a near miss with a good finish.
Rory Sabbatini - 125/1 @ William Hill
Rory has an extremely impressive record here with six Top-25's in eight appearances. He finished with a closing bogey free 65 to end up 14th last week, destroying Brooks Koepka in his two-ball match. He is one of the better scramblers on tour and is generally solid all round - in 2019 he was in the Top-100 for all strokes gained categories.
Graeme McDowell - 150/1 @ William Hill
Graeme won this in 2013 and also boasts three other top-30 finishes. The course suits his strengths perfectly - a strong iron player and great scrambler/putter. This also negates him being one of the shorter drivers on the Tour.
He currently sits 19th on SG: Approach the green and in 2019 was 4th SG: Putting, so if he can combine these two this week he will have a strong chance.
Missed the cut last week right on the line, but his win at Saudi earlier in the year followed a missed cut so it is not a major issue. It helps us get a great value price.
Collin Morikawa - 25/1 @ William Hill
Collin hasn't played the Heritage before but his game is ideally suited to the premium on accurate iron play here. He was very unlucky not to win last week and should contend again. His maiden win at Barracuda last year followed a 4th and 2nd place, so he's showed he can stay hot for consecutive weeks.
5th in SG: Tee to green and 2nd SG: Approach the green indicate he is one of the best ball strikers on tour if not the best.
Matt Kuchar - 45/1 @ William Hill
Matt won here in 2014 and in the last five years he's only finished outside the top 11 on one occasion (23rd). He did miss the cut last week, but only only after double bogeying his last hole in the second round so we shouldn't be too worried.
He won the Singapore Open in January after missing the cut at the Sony Open.
Tyrrell Hatton - 50/1 @ BetVictor
Tyrrell didn't play last week but this is factored into his price and he could potentially be superb value at 50/1. He won the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and finished 6th in the WGC-Mexico Championship on his only two starts this year.
The Mexico finish came after 12 weeks off with a wrist injury so he has proved he can return sharp. Also won the Turkish Airlines Open in his penultimate start of 2019, which makes it two wins in his last four starts.
1st for SG: Approach the green this year, a superb iron player and proven in the wind.
Jason Kokrak - 70/1 @ BetVictor
Jason finished 65-64 over the weekend at Colonial and hit 17 of 18 greens in his final round. He ticks the course form box, having recorded four top 20's in his last six appearances, including a 6th place finish in 2016.
Stats wise he was 6th last week for both Greens In Regulation and Scrambling, two key attributes this week. Jason backed up his best finish of 2019 (2nd place at the Valspar Championship) with a 7th place at the Texas Open so we know he can follow up a near miss with a good finish.
Rory Sabbatini - 125/1 @ William Hill
Rory has an extremely impressive record here with six Top-25's in eight appearances. He finished with a closing bogey free 65 to end up 14th last week, destroying Brooks Koepka in his two-ball match. He is one of the better scramblers on tour and is generally solid all round - in 2019 he was in the Top-100 for all strokes gained categories.
Graeme McDowell - 150/1 @ William Hill
Graeme won this in 2013 and also boasts three other top-30 finishes. The course suits his strengths perfectly - a strong iron player and great scrambler/putter. This also negates him being one of the shorter drivers on the Tour.
He currently sits 19th on SG: Approach the green and in 2019 was 4th SG: Putting, so if he can combine these two this week he will have a strong chance.
Missed the cut last week right on the line, but his win at Saudi earlier in the year followed a missed cut so it is not a major issue. It helps us get a great value price.
RBC Heritage - Our Bets
Kevin is from South Carolina where the RBC Heritage is being played and has made home advantage pay in recent years with three Top-20 finishes.
Our profile picked up on a quote from Kevin where he spoke of the upcoming event: “Harbour Town is going to be different in June. It’s overseeded in April and in June; we’ll be playing on bermudagrass. It’s going to be firm and fast, and I like firm and fast conditions."
He is a strong putter with an extremely accurate long game so fits the bill perfectly. Finished 29th last week and can improve on that performance here. He is the same price as Brooks Koepka in the outright market on Betfair Exchange, yet Brooks only starts at 2/1 for a Top-20 finish. Snap up the value 10/3 while you can.
Our profile picked up on a quote from Kevin where he spoke of the upcoming event: “Harbour Town is going to be different in June. It’s overseeded in April and in June; we’ll be playing on bermudagrass. It’s going to be firm and fast, and I like firm and fast conditions."
He is a strong putter with an extremely accurate long game so fits the bill perfectly. Finished 29th last week and can improve on that performance here. He is the same price as Brooks Koepka in the outright market on Betfair Exchange, yet Brooks only starts at 2/1 for a Top-20 finish. Snap up the value 10/3 while you can.
Matthew is also a South Carolina resident and practices with Kevin Kisner. Although he is making his debut, our profile picked up that he proposed to his wife on the green of Harbour Town golf links, so he will have special memories attached to this event.
Matthew took full advantage of playing another home tournament when finishing 14th at the 2019 RSM Classic.
He was 49th last week but has finished inside the Top-40 in six out of eight events in 2020. Ranks inside the Top-50 for SG: Putting and SG: Approach the green this year - two keys areas to succeed at Harbour Town .
Three of his Top-15 finishes on the PGA Tour have come on shorter, wind exposed tracks.
Matthew took full advantage of playing another home tournament when finishing 14th at the 2019 RSM Classic.
He was 49th last week but has finished inside the Top-40 in six out of eight events in 2020. Ranks inside the Top-50 for SG: Putting and SG: Approach the green this year - two keys areas to succeed at Harbour Town .
Three of his Top-15 finishes on the PGA Tour have come on shorter, wind exposed tracks.
21st June 2020
Hatton -15
Ancer -15
Palmer -15
Simpson -15
Ortiz -14
Berger -14
Dahmen -14
Once again Harbour Town showed it is a difficult course to lead from the front as Bryson Dechambeau stuttered and Webb Simpson just held on to a share of the lead.
Perfect golfing conditions early on meant low scoring, with six players inside the current top 10 shooting 63 or better. The wind picked up just enough in the afternoon to make it trickier - and as we've seen every day, less putts were dropping in the afternoon.
We're in for much of the same today with the wind due to be slightly stronger.
As 15 players are within two shots of the lead, it's very hard to call now. Webb Simpson remains favourite but he offers no value at 9/2. One of those 63's yesterday came from GBC's one to watch, Tyrrell Hatton, who is aiming to make it 3 wins in his last 5 starts.
He has self-admittedly been quite reliant on his short game this week but he has been excellent in the mix recently and could go on to win. It's hard to fancy Ryan Palmer, who is better at chasing rather than leading.
Our sole halfway outright tip Abraham Ancer has joined the leaders, yet it seems like he has hardly holed a putt. He has hit over 80% greens in regulation every day and is the man to beat stats wise.
He is ranked 1st SG: Total, 2nd SG: Tee to green and 1st GIR. If the wind picks up that should suit him too.
However, we must advise caution. As our event preview stated: "Round 3 leaders have a very poor record here in recent years and there have been some stunning wins from players off the pace. The last seven winners have come from at least 2 shots back, and in six of those years the winner came from three shots back.
"Even more impressively, in 2018 and 2011 Kodaira and Brand Snedeker came from six shots back, while in 2004 Stewart Cink overturned a NINE shot deficit."
It is not entirely impossible that someone from -9 could go low before the wind picks up and hold on, similar to Hatton's move yesterday. This brings a host of big names into it: Thomas and Rahm at -9, Mcllroy at -10 and Dechambeau, Koepka and DJ at -12.
That said, they would probably need to get to -19 or -20 to be in with a chance. DJ and Koepka fit the trend of six of the last seven winners coming from 3 shots back and they play together today, so it is likely one of them will be in the mix at some point.
Sunday's Bet
0.25pts Sergio Garcia to win - 35/1 Betfair Exchange
With Ancer right in the mix, and for the reasons mentioned above, we are more than happy to let it play out hoping his game holds up to the test. However, we couldn't resist a small win-only bet on Sergio Garcia at such big odds two shots off the lead.
Sergio's putting remains a concern and he could have had a share of the lead if he hadn't missed two putts of inside 5 feet on his back 9 yesterday. However he is 1st for SG: Tee to green so if he can just hole one or two more he should have a great chance.
We also have a sneaky suspicion that the news of his good friend Nick Watney testing positive for Covid-19 could give him a sense of perspective and help him relax a bit under pressure. Sergio was in close contact with Watney prior to the test, but after a nervous wait got the all clear to continue playing. It just fits the narrative too well!
20th June 2020
Simpson -12
DeChambeau -11
Conners -11
Palmer -10
Fitzpatrick -10
Ancer -9
Vegas -9
NeSmith -9
Koepka -9
As predicted, yesterday's morning starters gained a significant advantage with the wind once again picking up in the afternoon. One of them, Webb Simpson, leads at the way at the halfway point and ominously he tops the PGA Tour round 3 scoring average. However, with over 20 players within 4 shots of the lead going into the weekend, and this tournament having a history of players coming from well behind, there's plenty to play for.
In the last five editions of this tournament, the winner has come from an average of four shots back.
Yesterday was significant as Nick Watney became the first PGA Tour player to test positive for Covid-19. He was playing with Vaughn Taylor and Luke List in the first round, and time will tell whether the virus spreads to other players.
We saw success with our 2 ball bet as Harris English comfortably beat Byeong Hun An by 4 shots.
We were unlucky with our bogey free round bets. There were 7 among the top 44 but unfortunately, none of our four selections. Our main 2nd round leader bet, Dylan Frittelli, also narrowly missed out on the each way places.
Saturday's Bets
1 pt ew (1/5 1,2,3,4,5) Abraham Ancer - 25/1 @ Boylesports
Abraham is nicely positioned to make a run over the weekend. He's only had one bogey so far and ranks 7th in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green. His round 3 and 4 scoring averages are solid (28th and 15th).
If he can continue rolling in the putts as he did yesterday he has every chance this weekend. Let's hope his quote from yesterday sees him hole a few more over the weekend,
"I'm striking it well, and I'm rolling it good. It's just a matter of time until they fall in."
Hatton -15
Ancer -15
Palmer -15
Simpson -15
Ortiz -14
Berger -14
Dahmen -14
Once again Harbour Town showed it is a difficult course to lead from the front as Bryson Dechambeau stuttered and Webb Simpson just held on to a share of the lead.
Perfect golfing conditions early on meant low scoring, with six players inside the current top 10 shooting 63 or better. The wind picked up just enough in the afternoon to make it trickier - and as we've seen every day, less putts were dropping in the afternoon.
We're in for much of the same today with the wind due to be slightly stronger.
As 15 players are within two shots of the lead, it's very hard to call now. Webb Simpson remains favourite but he offers no value at 9/2. One of those 63's yesterday came from GBC's one to watch, Tyrrell Hatton, who is aiming to make it 3 wins in his last 5 starts.
He has self-admittedly been quite reliant on his short game this week but he has been excellent in the mix recently and could go on to win. It's hard to fancy Ryan Palmer, who is better at chasing rather than leading.
Our sole halfway outright tip Abraham Ancer has joined the leaders, yet it seems like he has hardly holed a putt. He has hit over 80% greens in regulation every day and is the man to beat stats wise.
He is ranked 1st SG: Total, 2nd SG: Tee to green and 1st GIR. If the wind picks up that should suit him too.
However, we must advise caution. As our event preview stated: "Round 3 leaders have a very poor record here in recent years and there have been some stunning wins from players off the pace. The last seven winners have come from at least 2 shots back, and in six of those years the winner came from three shots back.
"Even more impressively, in 2018 and 2011 Kodaira and Brand Snedeker came from six shots back, while in 2004 Stewart Cink overturned a NINE shot deficit."
It is not entirely impossible that someone from -9 could go low before the wind picks up and hold on, similar to Hatton's move yesterday. This brings a host of big names into it: Thomas and Rahm at -9, Mcllroy at -10 and Dechambeau, Koepka and DJ at -12.
That said, they would probably need to get to -19 or -20 to be in with a chance. DJ and Koepka fit the trend of six of the last seven winners coming from 3 shots back and they play together today, so it is likely one of them will be in the mix at some point.
Sunday's Bet
0.25pts Sergio Garcia to win - 35/1 Betfair Exchange
With Ancer right in the mix, and for the reasons mentioned above, we are more than happy to let it play out hoping his game holds up to the test. However, we couldn't resist a small win-only bet on Sergio Garcia at such big odds two shots off the lead.
Sergio's putting remains a concern and he could have had a share of the lead if he hadn't missed two putts of inside 5 feet on his back 9 yesterday. However he is 1st for SG: Tee to green so if he can just hole one or two more he should have a great chance.
We also have a sneaky suspicion that the news of his good friend Nick Watney testing positive for Covid-19 could give him a sense of perspective and help him relax a bit under pressure. Sergio was in close contact with Watney prior to the test, but after a nervous wait got the all clear to continue playing. It just fits the narrative too well!
20th June 2020
Simpson -12
DeChambeau -11
Conners -11
Palmer -10
Fitzpatrick -10
Ancer -9
Vegas -9
NeSmith -9
Koepka -9
As predicted, yesterday's morning starters gained a significant advantage with the wind once again picking up in the afternoon. One of them, Webb Simpson, leads at the way at the halfway point and ominously he tops the PGA Tour round 3 scoring average. However, with over 20 players within 4 shots of the lead going into the weekend, and this tournament having a history of players coming from well behind, there's plenty to play for.
In the last five editions of this tournament, the winner has come from an average of four shots back.
Yesterday was significant as Nick Watney became the first PGA Tour player to test positive for Covid-19. He was playing with Vaughn Taylor and Luke List in the first round, and time will tell whether the virus spreads to other players.
We saw success with our 2 ball bet as Harris English comfortably beat Byeong Hun An by 4 shots.
We were unlucky with our bogey free round bets. There were 7 among the top 44 but unfortunately, none of our four selections. Our main 2nd round leader bet, Dylan Frittelli, also narrowly missed out on the each way places.
Saturday's Bets
1 pt ew (1/5 1,2,3,4,5) Abraham Ancer - 25/1 @ Boylesports
Abraham is nicely positioned to make a run over the weekend. He's only had one bogey so far and ranks 7th in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green. His round 3 and 4 scoring averages are solid (28th and 15th).
If he can continue rolling in the putts as he did yesterday he has every chance this weekend. Let's hope his quote from yesterday sees him hole a few more over the weekend,
"I'm striking it well, and I'm rolling it good. It's just a matter of time until they fall in."